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Posted on 11/03/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Free Picks – Patriots (8-0) at Colts (7-0)
The New England Patriots, (8-0 SU, 8-0 ATS, 7-1 O/U) are ranked first in overall offense, averaging a whopping 439.5 yards and 41.4 points per game thanks to their new additions on offense. The Patriots are ranked 3rd in overall defense, allowing 268.2 yards and 15.9 points per game. New England smashed the Washington Redskins 52-7 last week.
The Indianapolis Colts, (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS, 3-4 O/U) are ranked third in overall offense, averaging 398.9 yards and 32.0 points per game. The Colts are ranked 4th in overall defense, allowing 272.9 yards and 14.6 points per game. Indianapolis beat the Panthers 31-10 last week.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Patriots Trends
The Patriots are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Patriots are 54-8-1 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Colts Trends
The Colts are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five games on turf.
The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Patriots last four games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 5-0 in Patriots last five games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Colts last five games as an underdog.
The Under is 4-1 in Colts last five games in November.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Indianapolis.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Indianapolis.
The Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Analysis: Maybe it’s me, but I don’t see either team winning this game by a touchdown. A last-second field goal is more like it bettors. Take the Colts to cover easily and win outright.
NFL Free Picks: Colts 27 Patriots 24
04:15 PM EST NFL Betting
New England Patriots -6½ -115
Indianapolis Colts +6½ -105
Over 57 -110
Under 57 -110
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