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Posted on 11/17/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Wagering: Carolina Panthers (-10) vs. Green Bay Packers (+10)
Packers listed as 10-point favorites versus the Panthers
Games Total – (over/under) – 37½
So, why do I get the feeling that this is one of those games where, even though every single trend says that the Packers should romp, the bad team is going to come up big?
The Packers are, in my mind, probably the most complete team in the NFC. I say that because I’m not sold on the Cowboys’ defense while the Packers’ D has shown me a thing or two this year.
They shut-down Adrian Peterson last week when the rest of the NFL, so far, can’t even tough him. They also play very good pass defense as cornerback Al Harris for the Packers is one of the more underrated corners in the league.
The trends say Packers all day all night. Check these trends out:
The Green Bay Packers are 8-1-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
The Green Bay Packers are 8 and 3 against the spread versus a team with a losing record.
It appears that since the Pack-Attack is at home, the Panthers don’t have much of a chance. But, there’s something that just keeps eating me about this game. The Packers have been playing at a very high level pretty much since the beginning of the season while the Panthers have slowly declined in their level of play from week to week.
Also, the Panthers will be starting Matt Moore, from Oregon State, undrafted, claimed off waivers just recently, in place of the over-forty Vinny Testaverde who is questionable in this game. David Carr, who was supposed to provide insurance for the Panthers, is also hurt.
Yep, everything is going against the Panthers in this game which is why I like them to beat this spread.
Did you just read what you thought you read? Yes, friends, you certainly did! I do like Carolina to beat the 10 point spread because I believe that the Green Bay Packers are due for a let-down.
Unless you are the New England Patriots it is virtually impossible to play at the same level week in and week out in the NFL. The coaches are too smart, the defenses are too good, and the talent level is too close. Just ask the New Orleans Saints who dropped one to the St. Louis Rams last week after winning 4 in a row.
The line is Carolina Panthers + 10 against the spread on the road versus the Green Bay Packers.
NFL Free Pick – Coach John Fox for the Panthers will figure out a way to keep this game close. Take the Panthers and the points.
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