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Posted on 12/13/2007 1:55 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Online Betting – Packers (-10 ) vs. Rams (+10 )
Last week the Green Bay Packers bounced back in a big way, dominating the Oakland Raiders on both sides of the ball (easily covering the 10 ½ point spread), and clinching the NFC North title. At 11-2, Head Coach Mike McCarthy is doing an outstanding job keeping his team focused on the next game at hand. This week the Packers visit the Edward James Dome to take on a Rams’ team hit hard by injuries all season long, but looking forward to the likely return of starting quarterback Marc Bulger. The former “greatest show on turf” has stalled this season with an offense ranked 27th in the league with a demoralizing 1-6 home record. Meanwhile the Packers have only lost once on the road (in Dallas) and the Packers’ 3rd-ranked offense is humming to the tune of 383 yards a game. The Week 15 line has the visitors favored by (-10 ½) and unless the Rams find a miracle cure, Green Bay should cruise to victory.
The Packers’ offensive line did an excellent job in pass protection last week, keeping a dinged up Brett Favre out of harms way. Favre responded by throwing for 266 yards and a pair of touchdowns (including an 80-yard strike to Greg Jennings). Green Bay has discovered a balanced attack with the help of running back Ryan Grant. Last week he ran wild for 156 yards and a touchdown against Oakland, while he has accumulated a staggering 558 yards and five touchdowns over the last five games. Last week Green Bay ran the ball 36 times versus only 23 passing downs (a ratio that seemed unimaginable before Grant’s coming out party). The Rams defense has lost key starters up front, in the middle and in the secondary. Expect more of the same from Green Bay running the ball with Grant to chew up yards and clock while Favre looks to connect deep with his corps of dangerous receivers. Middle linebacker Will Witherspoon is a gifted playmaker who will make his presence felt, but the Rams will have trouble matching up in the secondary. Greg Jennings and James Jones will challenge corners Fakhir Brown and Ron Bartell. Brett Favre should also be able to exploit the middle of the field finding Donald Driver and prospering tight end Donald Lee.
Rams’ quarterbacks have been sacked 40 times this season (4th highest in the NFL) which explains Marc Bulger’s concussion problems and highlights a courageous return that Scott Linehan is hoping will spark the team’s offense. Decimated by injuries the patchwork offensive line only features one projected starter from the beginning of the season. Rams’ tackles Alex Barron and Brandon Gorin will be in tough going up against defensive ends Aaron Kampman and Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila (a tandem that has produced 20.5 sacks). The Rams will need to run the ball with authority and they do possess just the man to make it happen. Healthy again, Steven Jackson is creating havoc for defenses breaking off big runs every game (Over 50-yard gains in each the last three games). Packer linebackers’ Nick Barnett and A.J. Hawk will narrow their sights on stopping Jackson.
Green Bay has done a good job corralling top running backs this season and they rank 12th in the league giving up less than 100 yards a game. Bulger will look downfield for Tory Holt and Isaac Bruce – two crafty veteran receivers who will face constant physical press coverage from Charles Woodsen and Al Harris. This should be enough to at least limit the duos production while Drew Bennett has not been the explosive offensive threat the Rams had hoped for.
The Green Bay Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. They’ll take another step toward hosting a postseason game at Lambeau Field.
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