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NCAAF Gambling: Rebels (+7) vs. Bulldogs (-7)
Sylvester Croom, the coach of the MSU Bulldogs, sure knows how fire up his team. He’s an old-schooler who gets out there during pep rallies and screams at the students, spit flying from his mouth like here were preaching the gospel and maybe he is.
Mississippi State has turned it around. It is no small feat, unless you are named LSU, Georgia, Florida or Tennessee, to win 6 games as an SEC team and Mississippi State has done it. They are now bowl eligible and the success can be directly traced back to Sylvester Croom.
This, though, is a rivalry game and in college football no matter how much better you think a team is than its rival, rivalry games tend to be closer than anybody expects.
First, a couple of trends that might throw you for a loop or two:
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2 and 8 against the spread in their last 10 home games.
The Ole Miss Rebels are 3 and 8 against the spread in their last 11 home games.
What these trends tell me is that there isn’t a big difference between these two teams and that the 6.5 points might not correctly reflect the talent of either one of these teams.
Ole Miss has only won 3 of their last 11 games but they did play awfully well versus LSU last weekend. Yes, they lost by 17 points, but that’s nothing compared to the hurt that the Fighting Tigers put on the Mississippi State Bulldogs earlier this year.
Then again, it has been Mississippi State who has come up big this year. They’ve beaten Alabama, Kentucky, and Auburn. Any one of those three teams would probably be about a 2o to 24 points favorite versus Ole Miss.
So, that’s the dilemma. If you like Ole Miss, then you must say that Mississippi State got lucky in their games versus Alabama, Kentucky, and Auburn.
If you like Mississippi State, then you have to believe that the above trend regarding how the Bulldogs play at home doesn’t mean much.
I’m inclined to go with the Bulldogs. Croom won’t let his fellas lose this one.
The NCAA line is Mississippi State Bulldogs – 6.5 against the spread at home versus the Ole Miss Rebels.
NCAAF Gambling Free Pick: Take the Bulldogs to cover this spread.
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