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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAAF Sportsbooks Posted on 11/15/2007 10:25 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
College Football Betting – Boston College at Clemson
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WHO: Oklahoma Sooners (9-1 SU, 5-5 ATS) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)
WHEN & WHERE: Saturday, 8 PM ET at Jones AT&T Stadium (FieldTurf – artificial) in Lubbock, TX — Televised by ABC (regional)
BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: Oklahoma -10
Oklahoma beat Baylor by the score of 52-21 last week, failing to cover as a 39-point home favorite. Texas Tech lost 59-43 at Texas, missing the cover as the six-point dog. Tech coach Mike Leach has been embroiled in a controversy by severely criticizing the officials from that game.
HEAD-TO-HEAD college football betting trends:
* OKLA has covered five of the last six meetings
* OKLA has won five of the last six meetings SU
* OKLA has covered four of the last five meetings in Lubbock
* The road team has covered five of the last seven meetings
LAST MEETING: In last year’s game, Oklahoma, down 24-20 in the fourth quarter, scored two unanswered touchdowns to come away with a 34-24, covering as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Sooners outgained the Red Raiders 448-281 in that game.
The Good News — Oklahoma is rated #3 by the USA Today, #3 by the AP and is #4 in the BCS Standings. With a win against Texas Tech the Sooners can clinch the Big 12 South title. Quarterback Sam Bradford is having a sensational year, and would be up for Heisman consideration if he wasn’t prejudiced by being a freshman. Bradford leads in the nation’s passing efficiency standings, with 70% completions and 28 TD passes. And he’s been sacked only eight times. The Sooners also rush the football well, averaging 191 yards a game. And the defense has been rock-hard against the run, yielding just 2.5 yards a carry to opponents.
The Bad News — That run defense means next to nothing against Texas Tech, which has virtually no infantry. As it stands right now, Oklahoma will probably get shut out of the national title picture if LSU and Oregon win the rest of their games.
* OKLA has covered just one of its last six games
* OKLA has won seven of its last eight road games SU
* OKLA has played eight of its last nine road games UNDER the total
ABOUT TEXAS TECH:
The Good News — Texas Tech throws the ball about as well as anyone in the country, under the tutelage of Leach, who was Bob Stoops’ offensive coordinator at Oklahoma from 1999-2000. Graham Harrell has thrown for 43 TD’s and 4878 yards. And Michael Crabtree has been an out-and-out freshman sensation, catching 113 passes for 1707 yards and 20 touchdowns.
The Bad News — Teams who have been able to run the ball have feasted on Texas Tech’s defense. Oklahoma State had three 100-yard rushers in one earlier game, and Texas’ Jamaal Charles chalked up 175 yards in last week’s contest. Interestingly enough, Oklahoma averages 9.6 yards per pass, about a yard better than Texas Tech. None of Texas Tech’s wins this year have come against a nationally-ranked team.
TEXAS TECH TRENDS:
* TT has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
* TT has won seven of its last eight home games SU
* TT is 22-9-1 ATS last 32 after a SU loss
* TT is 23-6 ATS at home in November
Free Pick: CONCLUSION:
Texas Tech’s offense is indeed prolific, but physical teams have been known to slow the Red Raiders down. Graham Harrell has had a great year, but Sam Bradford has been every bit his equal, and has kept mistakes down, which is important. Mike Leach’s dispute with Big 12 officials has become a distraction. Oklahoma comes in with enough offensive balance to keep Texas Tech OFF balance. We’ll lay the points with the Sooners, the 10-point favorite in the Top Sportsbooks college football betting odds.
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