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NFL Winners – Take it or Leave it: Week 9
You’re back on my wagon right? If not, you should be!
I had a couple of rough weeks this football season but I’ve more than made up for them over the past month. I’m so hot right now that I don’t understand how the keys on the keyboard aren’t melting as I type this.
Nonetheless, I don’t get paid to wonder about nonsense, I get paid to write to it. And I especially enjoy writing after a winning week, so you know I’ve really enjoyed writing my piece each of the last four weeks.
I haven’t lost my Pick of the Week in over a month, going 3-0-1 in that stretch. Last week, I rode the Raiders to victory. Even though they were getting 7 ½ points, the public didn’t like the Raiders and they paid.
By contrast, I got paid last week and I’ve been getting paid a lot lately as the record for my weekly favorite is now 5-2-1 through eight weeks.
The game that has my eye this week features the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs. The Packers, 6-1, head to Missouri with a significantly better record than the 4-3 Chiefs, but the Packers are two-point underdogs.
That line has the public going nuts for Green Bay, with 80% of bettors laying money down on the Brett Favre-led Pack.
Not so fast though. Kansas City has won four of their last five games, they’re 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six games and they always play tough at Arrowhead Stadium.
What makes Kansas City worth a pick this week? To start, running back Larry Johnson has rushed for over 100 yards in three of the last four games.
Johnson’s early season struggles contributed to the 1-3 start the Chiefs had to the season. As he turned things around, the Chiefs did the same. The Packers’ defense, ranked 11th in the league against the run, is giving up just under 100 yards per game but we’ll see how they fare against a hot and well-rested Larry Johnson.
Kansas City had last week off while Green Bay visits Arrowhead on a short work week after a big victory in Denver last Monday night.
The Chiefs week off will do everyone good. The coaches have extra time to work on the game plan, quarterback Damon Huard can rest up and so can rookie wide receiver Dwayne Bowe.
Rookies have a tendency to fade in the second half of an NFL Season but the Chiefs are hoping that doesn’t happen with Bowe. The 6’2” receiver out of LSU has been everything the Chiefs hoped for and more when they drafted him last summer.
Bowe leads all wide receivers on the team with 499 receiving yards and his three touchdown receptions match the number of TDs by tight end Tony Gonzalez. This kid is the real deal.
Free Pick: And taking the Chiefs at -2 is the sweetest deal you’ll find on the board this Sunday. Take it or Leave it.
NOTE: As always, my picks are not guaranteed. I am not an expert handicapper and everything I say can, and likely will, blow up in my face. Take my thoughts, or leave them, simple as that.
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