2008 NFC West Futures Betting June 23rd, 2008
By: NFL Handicapping Staff
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NFL Football Futures Betting – Analyzing The NFC West
Our best Sportsbooks has all of its football betting odds to win the Super Bowl listed at the site, but that’s not all – you can also bet on regular season win totals for each team. In our process of looking at some of the teams in each division and analyzing their chances of exceeding the regular season over/under posted at BetUS, we examine the NFC West.
BetUS NFL Futures Betting Odds
Under 8 wins -130
Over 8 wins -110
The Cardinals look a borderline .500 team, so this price is about right. And yes, I would tend to think if they were going to gravitate either way, it would be downward. Offensively there are weapons, like running back Edgerrin James and wide receivers Larry Fitzpatrick and Anquan Boldin, but defensive linemen like Chike Okeafor and Bertrand Berry have to get over injuries that sidelined them last year. And I certainly don’t think Matt Leinart is all the way there yet. However, this franchise is going to give him every opportunity to be the starter, because it invested such a high draft choice in him. That is something that, in my opinion, could create something of a downside. So if I were to go either way on this one, I would lean toward the “under” and hope that Arizona repeated its past problems in getting over the hump.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Over 6.5 wins -130
Under 6.5 wins -110
The Niners actually should be respectable on the defensive side of the football, but there is a long way to go on offense. The new coordinator is Mike Martz, who is formidable, to say the least. But Martz needs to match up his system with personnel, and I don’t see that process maturing this season. Yes, Isaac Bruce has come over from the Rams, and he thrived under Martz. But he’s not enough; this team lacks depth and explosiveness as wide receiver.
And Alex Smith, the former #1 overall draft pick, has a lot of question marks surrounding him. If Martz was going to put someone like J.T. O’Sullivan, who knows his scheme from Detroit, at the controls, I think there might be a chance. But Martz isn’t the guy who is going to ultimately make that decision.
So it’s a year of growing pains with Smith, most likely. The price on the “under” gives us some value here.
Over 8.5 wins -165
Under 8.5 wins +125
The Seahawks have dominated this division for a while, winning four straight titles. There’s no reason to believe they won’t be near the top again, even though some may think the transition from Mike Holmgren to Jim Mora Jr. is taking place, to be complete after the season. Seattle may or may not succeed with its “running back-by-committee” plan, but they’re certainly going to try. Matt Hasselbeck is a three-time Pro Bowl quarterback, although he doesn’t seem like one to me. Rookie tight end John Carlson may turn out to be a real find, and I probably should have given him a lot more consideration for the Rookie of the Year award. Defensively, this team may have a leg up on everyone else in the division. They have a chance to get as many as seven wins from NFC rivals alone. All in all, I don’t see a collapse, which points us toward the -165 price of the “over” as a value.
ST. LOUIS RAMS
Over 6.5 wins -160
Under 6.5 wins +120
I have said repeatedly that the Rams could turn out to be a big surprise this year. Maybe they won’t win the division title, but they are going to be much improved because the improved health of the offensive line, which lost five players at one time or another last year, helps a lot of things fall into place. Marc Bulger have a chance to repeat his standout 2006 performance with better protection, and the running game will again be a mainstay with Steven Jackson, who is about as good as anyone (with the exception of Bryan Westbrook) when it comes to the rushing-receiving combo. And tight end Randy McMichael has to be able to give more. I’m not sure how big an impact Chris Long is going to have on the defensive line, but I’m certain it will constitute an upgrade to more and more of a degree as the season progresses. I think the Rams are at least a .500 team if only a few things go right, and thus I would go “over” this total.
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