2008 NFC North Futures Betting June 23rd, 2008
By: NFL Handicapping Staff
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NFL Football Futures Betting – Analyzing The NFC North
Our best Sportsbooks has posted NFL betting odds to win the Super Bowl at the website, but that’s just part of an extensive menu of sports betting props that online wagering fans interested in football betting can get themselves immersed in. There are rookies of the year props, NFL betting odds to win each division and each of the two conferences, and regular season win totals as well. Part of that process involves examining the over/under totals on wins for each team in each division. Today’s division is the NFC North
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CHICAGO BEARS
Under 8 wins -120
Over 8 wins -120
The Bears have some problems, especially since it appears the Cedric Benson controversies may not end. Unless they come up with a running game rather early on, there is not going to be enough offense to keep this team competitive, especially since there was not a significant upgrade in the receiver corps. There is no guarantee that Rex Grossman is going to be any more reliable this year than he was last season, and even though there are star-level players on the defensive side, along the line that defense is going to break down if it is on the field for too long. The prospects for this team do not excite or inspire me. In this “pick’em” situation, I’m looking at an UNDER here.
DETROIT LIONS
Over 6.5 wins -160
Under 6.5 wins +120
The Lions admittedly came in with a tougher attitude under Rod Marinelli. But one has to understand that turning this thing around involve changing a culture, and I don’t think that is something that takes place very quickly. This is a losing organization, and in the opinion of many, that will not reverse itself until someone replaces Matt Millen atop the football operation.
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The Lions should be able to move the ball with their corps of wide receivers – Calvin Johnson and Roy Williams, along with Mike Furrey – and Jon Kitna has been a quarterback who has at least been able to generate stats, even if it hasn’t translated to winning. But Kitna makes mistakes, and I expect somewhere along the way Marinelli is going to decide that he needs to start the transition to somebody like Drew Stanton.
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Because that will probably bring this team’s overall performance down, I would gravitate to the UNDER in this prop, relative to the inviting +120 price.
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Under 8 wins -130
Over 8 wins -110
The Packers, to a considerable extent, were a product of whatever rabbits Brett Favre could pull out of his hat, at least this past season. There is no guarantee that Aaron Rodgers is going to be effective as the replacement, or that Brian Brohm can perform at a high level if he’s called upon in his rookie season. And was Ryan Grant’s sensational season, which included a 200-yard performance against Seattle in the playoffs, a fluke? We’ll see, but you have to give Grant the benefit of the doubt because he came right in an injected balance into this offense. You have to remember that essentially the remainder of that Packer team is in place, including some wide receivers that really emerged under Favre the last couple of years, and that this team was good enough to go to the NFC Championship game. So this is not a bunch of chumps. And in the NFC North, where all the other teams have some question marks around them, this is enough where you can’t write the Pack off. I would lean to the OVER here.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Under 8.5 wins -135
Over 8.5 wins -105
I like Minnesota in the division because when you have an offensive line with people like Matt Burk, Steve Hutchinson, Bryant McKinnie, et al, along with a running game that packs a 1-2 punch (Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor) that exceeds anything else in the league, you can hide some of the shortcomings of your quarterback (in this case, Tarvaris Jackson). And when you consider this defensive line stops the run, and should get help for the secondary in the form of an improved pass rush (with the addition of Jared Allen), you are looking at a team with the best superlatives in the NFC North. They are also probably the most well-rounded team, and can keep a lot of the burden off the star (Peterson), which will reduce the wear-and-tear on his body. I think this call is easy – I’d go OVER the 8.5 wins on this one.
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