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Nextel Cup Chase Handicapping
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Posted on 9/17/2007 7:48:53 PM
NASCAR Betting – Clint Bowyer’s Romp Means Little This Week
By Dave Golokhov
As a NASCAR bettor, don’t get too excited about Clint Bowyer’s romp in New Hampshire this past Sunday. Sure, he dominated, but if you paid close attention to the race, you would have seen that Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, and Tony Stewart, drove exceptionally well.
The point is that the Nextel Cup Chase is still firmly in the corner of those three drivers and no matter if a young driver like Bowyer got hot in the first race of the Nextel Cup Chase, two of the Big 3, Gordon and Stewart, are still the ones that you will want to look at when making your BetUS match-up wagers come this Sunday.
The key, for you as a NASCAR betting fan, won’t be whether or not Bowyer wins again, but whether or not there is a favorable match-up with the top 3 versus Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex, Jr. or Jimmie Johnson.
NASCAR Odds will hopefully determine how you wager, but there are a few drivers out there that you should not, under any circumstances, think about placing a wager on.
The first is Kyle Busch. Even though Kyle made a great run in New Hampshire, the thinking here is that he won’t be able to sustain that run for two straight weeks. Kyle looked good out there and didn’t make some of the dumber driving mistakes that he has made in the past. Still, it’s impossible for me, as a NASCAR bettor, to recommend him unless you get very good odds and get Kyle in an excellent match-up. He’s still too much of a cowboy for me to offer a wager on. That is, unless he is in a match-up with… Matrin Truex, Jr.
Truex, Jr. ran a terrific race in New Hampshire as well, but the chances of him putting in another terrific run are doubtful. He, like Busch, should fall back to the pack and therefore is a good bet against this week in BetUS NASCAR match-up wagering.
Clint Bowyer had his day in the sun. The hope is that the Top Sportsbooks match-ups actually have Bowyer going up against Gordon or Stewart. That would be money in the bank!
Another driver that you need to pay attention to as a bet against is Jimmie Johnson. By the looks of his run in New Hampshire, Johnson may be playing it safe these next few races, just making sure that he is in the top-ten, and then trying to steal a few races later in the Chase. He’s a great driver and is actually my pick to win the Nextel Cup, but in match-up betting he looks like an iffy proposition – – at least for the next few races.
Closely watch the Top Sportsbooks match-up bets regarding both Jeff Gordon and Tony Stewart. Without a doubt, they have fire under their hoods and in their brains. These guys are definitely going for the win next Saturday and they are a favorable match-up, depending on odds, against anyone else in the field.
Jeff Gordon, in particular, looks very, very tough. He did the right thing on Saturday, holding position once Bowyer got the huge lead. No use pressing when it’s the first race of the Cup Chase.
But, don’t wait before jumping on Gordon. A win is right around the corner; maybe as early as this coming Saturday. Whatever the Top Sportsbooks match-ups are, expect Gordon to come through.
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