Marlins vs. Phillies Preview + Free Pick May 30th, 2008
By: Cappers Picks Staff
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MLB Baseball Betting Free Picks – Marlins at Phillies
While the young Florida Marlins, (30-22, 33-19 RL) have surprised the entire National League as well as their sports betting faithful with their impressive start to the 2008 regular season – and have done absolutely nothing to make gamblers or baseball betting fans think they are not a legitimate contender for the NL Pennant this season, the Marlins are now looking in their rear-view mirror in a big way at the hard-charging Philadelphia Phillies, (31-24, 25-30 RL) who enter tonight’s online wagering matchup riding a season-high four-game winning streak that was punctuated by Thursday’s 6-1 win which completed their emphatic sweep of the beleaguered Colorado Rockies.
The Phillies can take over first place in the NL East for the first time this season by beating the Marlins who have dropped each of their last two games to the New York Mets, including Thursday’ 7-6 loss in extra innings.
Philadelphia has been getting some quality pitching from their entire staff, but it is the team’s scorching offense that has led its impressive winning streak by scoring 48 runs over their last four games, including 35 runs in back-to-back contests against the Houston Astros and Rockies.
“It’s obviously a good lineup,” said Phillies outfielder Geoff Jenkins, who is a blistering 6-for-12 with two home runs and six RBI in his last three games. “It’s fun to be a part of. We can basically put anyone in there and get the job done.”
Phillies all-star second baseman Chase Utley also hit his major league-leading 17th home run Wednesday but Philadelphia may need as many runs as it can get entering tonight’s baseball betting matchup with inconsistent right-hander Brett Myers (2-6, 5.79) taking the mound.
Myers has been downright awful lately, going 0-5 with a 6.92 ERA in his last seven starts including four consecutive losses in which he’s posted a high, 8.02 ERA.
Myers allowed four runs on eight hits while walking four batters in six innings of Philadelphia’s 4-3 loss last Friday.
“Right now, things just aren’t going good for him,” Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told the team’s official Web site. “Luck definitely counts in this game and he’s not getting any. He’ll come out of it.”
The Marlins also boast one of the best second baseman in the majors, as Dan Uggla is batting .307 with 16 home runs.
Florida will counter by handing the ball to former Philadelphia 76ers forward, Mark Hendrickson, (7-2, 4.14) just one of 11 major leaguers to play in both, the NBA and MLB.
The veteran lefty was also rocked in his last start, allowing five runs on a season-high nine hits but managed to pick up a victory despite his poor performance as the Blue Jays scored 8 runs to back Hendrickson in the team’s 8-6 victory over the San Francisco Giants.
Hendrickson’s only career start against Philadelphia on July 17, last season resulted in a huge loss as Hendrickson was tagged for seven runs on 11 hits while lasting just three innings in a 15-3 loss.
Marlins’ second baseman Dan Uggla is 1-for-9 with five strikeouts in his last two games, but has knocked Myers senseless in his career, going 7-for-18 (.389) with two homers and a triple.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks.
The Marlins are 8-2 in Hendrickson’s last ten starts on grass.
The Marlins are 4-1 in Hendrickson’s last five starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Phillies are 3-13 in Myers’ last 16 starts on grass.
The Phillies are 1-5 in Myers’ last six starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Under is 4-0 in Hendrickson’s last four starts as an underdog.
The Under is 10-2 in Myers’ last 12 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Philadelphia.
The Under is 4-1 in Myers’ last five starts vs. Marlins.
Analysis: Two mediocre pitchers and one red-hot offense equal another Philadelphia victory – unless Myers somehow manages to blow it. Take the Phillies, who are starting to heat up in a big way, to win their fifth straight game tonight.
MLB Free Picks: Phillies 8 Blue Jays 5
07:05 PM EST MLB Odds
Mark Hendrickson – L +1½ -140
Brett Myers – R -1½ +120
Over 10 -120
Under 10 EV
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