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NCAAF Sportsbooks Posted on 11/02/2007 8:03:22 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Betting – LSU vs. Alabama
#3 LSU Tigers (7-1) vs. #17 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2)
Saturday, November 3rd — Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa — 5:00pm EST
Opening college football line LSU -7 (48.5)
Nick Saban will face his former college team for the first time since becoming the head coach at Alabama, after a brief and forgettable stop in Miami. The Crimson Tide can put a stranglehold on the SEC West with a win, but are 3-7 SU against LSU including four straight losses. Both teams have been brutal against the spread. LSU has gone 3-5 ATS, while Alabama has only managed a 2-5 ATS record.
Alabama really does not have the offensive punch to expose LSU’s fifth ranked defense. Two weeks ago they dropped 41 points on Tennessee, but this is LSU we are talking about. There is no way in hell the Crimson Tide even come close to that on Saturday. LSU holds teams to 15.4 points per game.
LSU is a team predicated on the run, which is why they rush for 224.3 yards on the ground per game. Alabama allows 131.4 yards on the ground per match. Look for Les Miles to control the game by rushing Jacob Hester often, freeing up passing lanes for Matt Flynn. LSU is thirteenth overall in rushing yards per game, and are a safe bet to run right past Saban on Saturday.
NCAA Football Free Pick: LSU 27 Alabama 17
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