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NCAAF Sportsbooks Posted on 11/07/2007 8:03:22 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAAF Betting: Louisville (+16) vs. West Virginia (-16)
This was supposed to be one of those truly important NCAA football betting games. Some “experts” thought that both of these teams was going to come into this one undefeated.
It hasn’t happened exactly like that. Because of turnovers in their game versus South Florida, the West Virginia Mountaineers come into this game with one loss. The Mountaineers still have a chance to make it into the BCS Championship. It’s an outside chance, but it’s there.
The Louisville Cardinals are playing like the Cardinal – – you know? The team on the West Coast named after a color and not something alive? The one with the fir tree for a mascot?
Yeah, those guys. That’s who these Cardinals have become. I guess changing coaches does make a difference in college football. Not that it was their choice or anything.
In any case, here are a couple of trends that, on the outset look conflicting, but, actually, aren’t at all:
The Louisville Cardinals are 8 and 2 against the spread in their last 10 games in November.
The Louisville Cardinals are 2-6 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
Now, I am a true believe in trends about certain coaches just like I’m a true believer in trends regarding trainers on the horse tracks, but to say that the Cardinals play well in November doesn’t mean much. Usually, the Cardinals are the best team in the Big East. Usually, they’re coached by someone else, someone with experience. Then, of course, sometimes, they have guys like Amobi Okoye playing on their defensive line.
Not so this year. The Louisville Cardinals have practically no chance of stopping the West Virginia offense. The West Virginia defense has started playing better lately as well. That makes the second trend, the one about the Cardinals being colder than a July day in Greenland, very important.
The Louisville Cardinals are icy and they’re going on the road to face a team who still believes that they can win a championship.
The college football betting line is West Virginia – 16 at home against the spread versus the Louisville Cardinals.
Take West Virginia to cover. They will want to rack up as many style points as they can in this one
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