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Posted on 11/30/2007 1:34:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting: Lions (+ 4) vs. Vikings (- 4)
The Detroit Lions are on a 3 game losing streak and now they have to go to Minnesota to take on one of their more bitter rivals in the NFL, the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are coming off a terrific win versus the New York Giants. In that game the Vikings ran back 3 Eli Manning interceptions for touchdowns. A lot of it had to do with Eli’s terrible reads, but some of it does have to do with the fact that the Vikings pass defense is sort of gelling.
The Vikes have been excellent against the run so far this year. It’s been their past defense that has suffered. This year is too late for Brad Childress’s squad, but if they can find balance in their offense attack next year and continue to get their defense to improve, the Vikes could be very tough come 2008.
Speaking of Childress, Minnesota would be stupid to even consider letting this guy go. He’s a terrific coach who has turned lemons into lemonade with this team. They’ve only been blown out once this year, a 34 to 0 loss to Green Bay on the road, and have played tough against the Cowboys, Eagles, and Lions (earlier in the year) on the road.
Childress is building a very good team in Minnesota.
Let’s take a look at a couple of trends that should shed more light on this game:
The Minnesota Vikings are 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 games versus a fellow NFC North opponent.
The Detroit Lions are 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15 games versus a fellow NFC North opponent.
The schedule is definitely getting tougher for the Lions. That’s not their biggest issue, though. The biggest issue for Detroit is that they cannot stop pass-rushers from getting to QB John Kitna. He spent most of his Thanksgiving either running for his life or on his back.
That will be the big issue here. For some reason, either Kitna isn’t reading the blitzes quick enough, or his wide receivers aren’t on the same page with him, Kitna is hanging on to the pig-skin way too long. Sometimes defenses don’t even have to call blitzes. They’re using 4 straight rushers to get to him.
Things will only get worse because the Vikings front-seven is very, very good and Detroit’s left-tackle, Jeff Backus, is banged up in this one. He had to leave last Thursday’s game versus the Packers due to injury.
All of this spells doom for the Lions who won’t be able to stop the Vikings RB duo of Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson.
The NFL Betting line is Minnesota Vikings – 4 against the spread at home versus the Detroit Lions.
NFL Free Pick: I like the Vikes to beat the spread in this one. The skid continues for the Lions.
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