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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAAF Sportsbooks Posted on 11/22/2007 8:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Betting – Missouri at Kansas
LAST POINTSPREAD RESULT: Missouri traveled to Kansas State and won by a 49-32 score, covering as a 7-point favorite. Kansas hosted Iowa State and won by the score of 45-7, covering as a 26.5-point home favorite.
HEAD-TO-HEAD college football betting trends:
* KANSAS has won three of the last four meetings SU
* KANSAS has covered three of the last four meetings
* The underdog has covered four of the last five meetings
* Three of the last five meetings have gone UNDER the total
* The last five meetings have been decided by double digits
LAST MEETING: These teams met on November 25 of last year. Missouri came away with a 42-17 win, covering as a 6.5-point favorite and gaining 493 yards from scrimmage. The game went over the 51.5-point posted total.
ABOUT MISSOURI:
The Good News — Chase Daniel, a Heisman candidate, is ninth in the country in passing efficiency, completing 69% of his passes, and throwing for 30 TD’s with just nine interceptions. Jeremy Maclin is the NCAA’s all-time freshman leader in all-purpose yardage. Currently the Tigers are rated #3 by the USA Today, #3 in the AP poll, and #4 in the BCS Standings.
The Bad News — Missouri is last in the nation in net punting, averaging just 29.15 yards in field position gained per kick. The Tigers are 96th in pass defense, surrendering 63.4% completions and 258 yards a game.
MISSOURI TRENDS:
* MISSOURI has played its last four games OVER the total
* MISSOURI has played eight of its ten games OVER the total this year
* MISSOURI has covered six of its last eight conference games
* MISSOURI has scored 40 points or more in five straight games
* MISSOURI has scored 30 points or more in 13 straight games
ABOUT KANSAS:
The Good News — It is obvious that Kansas, rated #2 in the country by the USA Today, AP and BCS, is going to appear in the national title game if they win this and the Big 12 championship. QB Todd Reesing has thrown 30 TD passes with just four INT’s, and Kansas ranks 2nd in scoring (45.8 ppg), seventh in total offense and rushing defense, second in scoring defense, first in kickoff returns and first in turnover margin (+21).
The Bad News — Kansas does not get a lot of pressure on the passer (just 19 sacks) and ranks outside the top 100 in both punt returns and net punting.
KANSAS TRENDS:
* KANSAS has covered all 10 games on the board this season
* KANSAS has scored 40 points or more in eight games this season
* KANSAS has covered 13 of its last 16 conference games
College Football Free Pick: THE BOTTOM LINE:
There is no getting around the fact that Kansas has played a rather soft schedule. Their toughest opponents are in fringe bowl games at best. This may be a matchup of Heisman hopefuls in Chase Daniel and Todd Reesing, but Daniel gets a clear edge in big-game experience. And we like Missouri’s weapons a little better; people like Maclin and tight ends Martin Rucker and Chase Coffman, all of whom will be in the NFL. In this kind of matchup, we’re looking to grab any points available, so we’re siding with Missouri, the two-point underdog in the Top Sportsbooks college betting odds.
WHO: Missouri Tigers (10-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (11-0 SU, 10-0 ATS)
WHEN & WHERE: Saturday, 8 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City (grass)
BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: Kansas -2
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