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Posted on 11/20/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
New York Jets (2-8) vs. Dallas Cowboys (9-1)
Thanksgiving Day Football – November 22, 4:15 PM | Turf of Texas Stadium
Opening NFL Betting Line: Cowboys by 14
Thursday’s main course consist of the hosting Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets kicking off at 4:15pm EST. Considering the Jets are 2-8 SU and 0-4 on the road, having dropped the cash in three of the four away from, Dallas has a very legitimate shot at stuffing your turkey with cash.
Dallas is 25-14 SU on Thanksgiving. The Jets are making their first Thanksgiving appearance since 1985, when they lost at Detroit.
The Cowboys are 9-1 SU for the first time since 1983 and they’ve covered the spread in eight of the ten with one push. The division-leading Cowboys are getting it done with an offense that ranks second in the league, scoring 32.4 points per game while racking up 393 yards. The defense is holding opponents to 21.8 points and 311 yards.
The month of November has been a profitable period for Dallas and New York. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in the month’s last six, owning the same mark in Week 12. As for New York, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in November and 8-3-1 ATS in their last twelve contests played in Week 12.
The Jets are scoring just 17.8 (eighth-worst in the NFL) points per game off 290.9 yards, meanwhile, the defense is giving up 24.4 points and 368.5 (seven-worst) yards.
A home cooked Thanksgiving meal may play a role in this one, as the home team is 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 meetings. NFL odds list Dallas the 15-point favorites with a game total of 47½. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite.
Analysis: This is a mismatch on paper and it will show on the field. There’s too much power on the Cowboys team who’ll get the cover win. Take Dallas and stuff your belly with turkey and cash.
NFL Free Picks: Dallas -15
NEW YORK
NY Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games
NY Jets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
NY Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
DALLAS
Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home
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