Jets vs. Bills NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:17:42 PM
NFL Betting Free Picks – New York Jets (-4) at Buffalo Bills (+4)
Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The New York Jets (1-2 SU, 1-1-1 ATS, 2-0-1 O/U) may have won their first game of the season last week, beating up on the lowly Miami Dolphins 31-28, but they have huge problems on both sides of the ball as evidenced by their 28th overall ranking in both categories.
The Buffalo Bills (0-3 SU, 1-2-0 ATS, 1-2-0 O/U) have been even more pathetic this season in going 0-3 while compiling the league’s lowest rated offense (32 pass, 18 rush) and defense (32 rush, 32 pass). Quarterback J.P. Losman may be out for two weeks with an injury and rookie linebacker Paul Posluszny is now out for the season after being placed on injured reserve this week.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Jets Trends
The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Jets are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS loss.
Key Bills Trends
The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on Turf.
The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
The Bills are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0-1 in Jets last seven games in September.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Jets last eight games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Buffalo.
The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Analysis: Although the Jets have looked pretty dismal themselves and are playing this game on the road, New York is favored in this game for a reason – the Bills are already decimated by several debilitating injuries, including the most recent news that Losman will not start this game. Take the Jets to win this game, likely by a touchdown.
NFL Free Picks: Jets 28 Bills 21
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
New York Jets -4 -110
Buffalo Bills +4 -110
Over 37 -110
Under 37 -110
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