Jaguars vs. Chiefs NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 10/5/2007 5:28:42 PM
NFL Betting Free Picks – Jacksonville Jaguars (-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (+2)
Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) are 2-1 after three games, largely because of the team’s fourth-ranked overall defense which allows its opponents to gain just 287.7 yards per game. While Jacksonville is only ranked 20th in overall offense, they are ranked 13th in the league in rushing and have used their stellar defense and a ball-control offense to come out on top twice in three tries.
The Kansas City Chiefs (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS, 1-3-0 /U) have won two straight games after opening the season 0-2. The Chiefs enter this matchup coming off a solid 30-16 thrashing of the San Diego Chargers and have compiled the league’s third-best defense. Offensively, the Chiefs have struggled at times, posting the league’s 27th overall offense.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Jaguars Trends
The Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The Jaguars are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Chiefs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.
The Chiefs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last four games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last five games in Week Five.
The Over is 5-0 in Chiefs last five games in Week Five.
The Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last six games as an underdog.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
No trends available.
Analysis: I’m a bit surprised that the Jacksonville Jaguars are favored here on the road. The fact of the matter is that each team in this contest has been very solid defensively and equally inconsistent on offense. Arrowhead Stadium is one of the toughest places in the league to win a road game and I don’t think the Jaguars have the offense to get the job done. Take the underdog Chiefs to cover and win outright at home.
NFL Free Picks: Chiefs 17 Jaguars 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars -2 -110
Kansas City Chiefs +2 -110
Under 36 -110
Over 36 -110
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