Indians vs. Angels Preview + Free Pick April 09th, 2008
By: Cappers Picks Staff
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MLB Baseball Betting Trends – Indians at Angels
Sportsbook bettors got a taste of the MLB swings yesterday while the Los Angeles Angels, (5-4) got a taste of their own medicine, losing to the Cleveland Indians, (4-4) 4-3 as Travis Hafner hit a monster two-run home run in the ninth inning to lead his team to a comeback victory just one day after the Angels’ Torii Hunter blasted a ninth inning grand slam to lift the Angels to a 6-4 win.
Hafner’s blast off Angels reliever Justin Speier gave the Angels their first loss when leading after eight innings in a whopping 163 games.
“It doesn’t matter to me – seventh, eighth or ninth inning. The game is on the line in all those innings anyway,” said Speier, who has 17 career saves. “My mentality stays the same regardless of what inning I pitch in.”
Tonight’ the Angels will try to extract a small measure of revenge with reliever turned starter, Dustin Moseley, (0-1, 9.00 ERA) making the start. The right-hander was rocked in his first appearance of 2008, getting knocked around for five runs in five innings in the Angels’ 11-6 loss to the Texas Rangers on Friday.
The Indians will counter with veteran, (0-1, 6.23), who is looking to give Cleveland its fourth straight quality start.
Byrd allowed five runs, though only three earned, in 4 1/3 innings of Cleveland’s 6-3 loss to the Oakland A’s on Friday.
Angels’ regular closer Francisco Rodriguez could sit this game out after suffering an injury in Monday’s victory.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks:
Key Indians Trends
The Indians are 7-2 in their last nine Wednesday games.
The Indians are 14-4 in their last 18 during game two of a series.
The Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Key Angels Trends
The Angels are 4-0 in their last four vs. American League Central.
The Angels are 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Angels are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0-1 in Indians last five road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last eight games as a road underdog.
The Over is 6-1-3 in Indians last ten vs. a team with a winning record.
The Under is 4-0 in Angels last four games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last eight during game two of a series.
The Over is 5-1 in Angels last six home games.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 8-2 in the last ten meetings.
The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles.
The Indians are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.
The Pitchers: Paul Byrd is 0-1 in one start with zero strikeout, two walks and an ERA of 6.23.
Dustin Moseley is 0-1 in one start covering four strikeouts, two walks and a 9.00 ERA.
Analysis: There’s a reason why Angels starter Dustin Moseley has been a reliever his entire career – because he’s mediocre at best people – duh. Take the Indians to hand the Angels another loss while spanking up on Moseley and getting a quality start from Paul Byrd, one of the best ‘location’ pitchers in the game.
MLB Free Picks: Indians 6 Angels 4
03:35 PM EST MLB Betting Odds
Paul Byrd – R +1½ -200
Los Angeles Angels
Dustin Moseley – R -1½ +170
Over 10 -105
Under 10 -115
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