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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 02/02/2008 3:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
NBA Basketball Betting – Miami at Detroit
Our Sportsbooks: WHO: Miami Heat (9-38 SU, 16-30-1 ATS) at Detroit Pistons (34-13 SU, 28-18-1 ATS)
WHERE: The Palace of Auburn Hills, MI
WHEN: Wednesday, February 6 at 7:30 PM ET
BetUS NBA basketball betting odds: DETROIT -16.5, Total 186
In the HEAD-to-HEAD NBA betting trends:
* MIA has covered four of the last five meetings
* DET has won four of the last six meetings SU
* Eleven of the last 12 meetings have gone UNDER the total
* MIA has covered four of the last six meetings as the visitor
* DET has won seven of the last eight meetings SU as the home team
* Four of the last five meetings in Auburn Hills have gone UNDER the total
* MIA has had the shooting edge in seven of the last eight meetings
* DET has had the rebounding edge in five of the last seven meetings
Miami is the lowest scoring team in the NBA, third lowest in scoring on the road, and second lowest in rebounding on the road. The Heat has turned the ball over 14.5 times a game and registered 19.7 assists per contest. Also:
* MIA has lost 19 of its last 20 games SU
* MIA is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 games
* MIA has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
* MIA is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road games
* MIA has played six of its last nine road games UNDER the total
Detroit is second in the NBA in points allowed (89.9 per game). They do that on 43.8% shooting allowed by opponents. Detroit takes care of the ball very well, coughing it up just eleven times per outing. Also:
* DET has won its last five games SU
* DET has covered five of its last 14 games
* DET has covered 10 of its last 13 home games
* DET has won 11 of its last 13 home games SU
* DET has played nine of its last 13 home games UNDER the total
We liked the heat to go “under” in its last contest, and they did their part just fine. However, the opponent – Toronto – did not. Here, Detroit enjoys playing a slower pace, which pat Riley should want to do, since his team is short-handed. And now comes word that Shaquille O’Neal, spiritual leader of the franchise’s only world championship, may be dealt to the Phoenix Suns as early as today.
Detroit allows less points at home than any team in the NBA (86 ppg). The Pistons are just coming off a stunning defensive performance on Sunday, as they held Dallas to 23 field goals and 67 points. Miami, the league’s lowest scoring group, is not likely to offer very much resistance. And they have scored less than usual lately (only 89 ppg over the last 11).
Eleven of the last 12 in this series have gone under the number, and Detroit has been skewing in that direction lately as well (9 of last 13 at home). Since the Pistons are likely to be able to control the tempo, we’ll move “under” the 186 points as it is posted in the Top Sportsbooks NBA betting odds.
NBA Betting Picks: JAY’S PLAY: UNDER 186
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