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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 01/11/2008 3:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
NBA Wagering – Heat On Road To Face Red-Hot Hornets
Our Sportsbooks: It’s hard to believe how far the Miami Heat, (8-28 SU, 14-22 ATS, 19-16-1 O/U) have fallen just two seasons after winning their first NBA championship, but the fact of the matter is that the Heat are absolutely atrocious despite having one of the game’s premiere superstars in Dwyane Wade.
The New Orleans Hornets, (23-12 SU, 20-14-1 ATS, 13-22 O/U) on the other hand, have arguably been the biggest surprise of the season, improving dramatically behind the play of spectacular young point guard Chris Paul and a cast of better-than-you-think teammates.
The heat have lost nine consecutive games coming into this contest while the Hornets had their modest three-game winning streak snapped by the Los Angeles Lakers 109-80 on Wednesday.
The Hornets are 9-7 at home this season while Miami is a pitiful 4-17 on the road.
New Orleans has gone 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last ten games while the Heat have failed to cover in three straight games and eight of their last ten.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NBA Betting Free Picks.
Key Heat Trends
The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater.
The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. NBA Southwest.
The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Key Hornets Trends
The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one days rest.
The Hornets are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 8-1 in Heat last nine vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 13-5-1 in Heat last 19 games following a ATS loss.
The Under is 9-1 in Hornets last ten after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Under is 9-1 in Hornets last ten vs. Eastern Conference.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in New Orleans.
The Home team is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
Analysis: While I like the Hornets to win this contest, the Miami Heat are the right pick. The Heat have only lost by double digits once in their last five contests and I don’t expect them to be routed by the Hornets tonight.
NBA Free Picks: New Orleans 98 Miami 93
08:05 PM EST NBA Betting Odds
Miami Heat +11½ -110
New Orleans Hornets -11½ -110
Over 189½ -110
Under 189½ -110
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