Heat vs. Bulls Preview + Free Pick Feb 14th, 2008
By: Our Staff
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NBA Basketball Betting Miami at Chicago
WHO: Miami Heat (9-42 SU, 18-32-1 ATS) at Chicago Bulls (20-31 SU, 21-30 ATS)
WHERE: United Center in Chicago
WHEN: Thursday, February 14 at 8:05 PM ET
BetUS NBA basketball betting odds: CHICAGO -2, Total 194
In the HEAD-to-HEAD NBA betting trends:
* CHI has won eight of the last nine meetings SU
* CHI has covered the last five meetings
* Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
* CHI has won six of the last seven meetings SU as the home team
* CHI has covered eight of the last ten meetings as the home team
* The last five meetings in Chicago have gone OVER the total
* CHI has had the shooting edge in four of the last five meetings
* CHI has had the rebounding edge in eight of the last nine meetings
Chicago averages 96 points a game at the United Center. That’s 23rd in the NBA in home scoring. The Bulls pull down 43.5 rebounds a game. Also:
* CHI has covered five of its last six games
* CHI has lost five of its last seven games SU
* CHI has played four of its last six games OVER the total
* CHI has covered four of its last 15 home games
* CHI has played five of its last six home games UNDER the total
Right now, Miami is last in the NBA in scoring (93.1 ppg). And only two teams have averaged less rebounds in road games than the Heat’s 38.3 per contest. Also:
* MIA is 5-18-1 ATS in its last 24 games
* MIA has lost its last eight games SU
* MIA has lost 23 of its last 24 games SU
* MIA is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven road games
* MIA has played four of its last six road games OVER the total
We certainly concede that Shaun Marion is a positive addition for the Heat, if for no other reason than that he is an able-bodied player who can rebound the ball, while Shaquille O’Neal, who was traded, likely was going to sit out the rest of the season on the advice of his personal physician if he was not moved.
Miami has lost 23 of 24 and has covered five of those games. And while we realize that Chicago is just 5-10 ATS laying points at home, there is simply no way you can ignore their recent mastery over this team. Chicago swept Miami in four games in last year’s playoffs, and won a 126-96 laugher in Miami on January 16. In that game, Shaq was Miami’s potent weapon, with 24 points and 10 rebounds. But even though Ben Wallace is out for the Bulls, Miami’s Mark Blount is not likely to stir fear in anyone’s hearts from his center spot.
Ben Gordon and Luol Deng are also out of action for Chicago, but the Bulls have more depth to handle these absences than the thinned-out Heat, who are also missing Udonis Haslem, the guy who does the dirty work under the boards.
Miami is still ill-equipped for the revenge role. Even with a banged-up lineup, we see value with the Bulls, the two-point favorite in the Top Sportsbooks NBA betting odds.
JAY’S PLAY: CHICAGO
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