Handicappers NFL Pre Season Gambling Tips August 4th, 2008
By: NFL Handicapping Staff
Check in with CappersPicks.com Best NFL Sportsbook Review daily for exclusive NFL bonus betting specials, and gambling promotions. Plus get all the Info on upcoming football matchups, which will allow you to bet on all the NFL weekly games during the regular season plus NFL Playoffs in our approved secure and safe online NFL Football betting sites.
2008 NFL Preseason Football Handicapping
The 2008 NFL preseason “really” kicks off this week after yesterdays Hall Of Fame game opener between Indy and Washington. Now it’s time to tune up the handicapping muscles and make our final evaluations about the teams heading into the regular season. More importantly it’s time to take advantage of the sportsbooks! The sportsbooks are vulnerable at this time of the year to handicappers who come in fully prepared and take the right approach. I think off-season preparation is key. Overall our cappers have an extremely profitable 28-11-1 (72%) the past 2 seasons combined and over $15,000.00 worth of profit for a dime player!
The important factors that we look for remain much the same in 2008 and we fully expect to take advantage of the sportsbooks again. Remember there are alot of variables affecting games and there are no shortcuts.
Put in the work. When things line up the way we want it’s time to pull the trigger.
Each year I put together a written “gameplan” detailing how I intend to attack the preseason, here’s a look at some of the factors affecting the 2008 NFLX preseason:
Access to information. The internet has evened the playing field and getting the latest QB rotations, playing time decisions, and coach’s intentions can be valuable. However, for the past couple year our handicapping clients have heard me talk often about “misinformation” and it may be one of the biggest changes we’ve seen in recent preseasons. In the past 3 of 4 preseasons there is a growing list of coaches that have become god-awful liars so don’t believe everything you hear or read. There are good reasons behind it and it would be too lengthy to get into here. The bottom line is that often we’re faced with reading between the lines and history has shown that you shouldn’t make a play based solely on this type of information. In fact, We’ve been very successful going AGAINST the grain in these situations and as a bonus the line often works in our favor. The trick is knowing when to zig or zag based on the type of information and who it’s coming from. That’s where experience pays off and good preseason handicappers can consistently sniff out the BS and turn it against the books.
Target coaches that have positive or negative preseason track records. Several active coaches have developed preseason tendencies that have to be considered when making a play. Some coaches want to develop a winning attitude, others only want to evaluate and avoid injuries to the starters. The type of team is also a factor. The Super Bowl champs may care very little while a 5-11 team may want to win their preseason games to develop confidence and a winning attitude. Then there are rookie NFL coaches, strong ATS winners in the right situations. The head coach is definitely a big part of the preseason equation.
Check out our all new NFL Football Betting Forums @ CappersPicks.com – Talk Smack Today!!!
Situational handicapping has played a big role during recent preseasons and it’s important to be aware of the best active systems each week. System plays are often misunderstood. I’m not referring to the ones that say bet team A because they were 10-1 ATS last year when playing on even numbered days of the week or some other ridiculous back-fit system. What I’m referring to are specific situations that affect all teams and most importantly make sense. They are only one of the tools you consider in preseason but it’s a biggie. Often the team’s last game or two PLUS their current situation is compared to similar past league-wide occurrences. It’s a way that stats can be used to show which teams should have a physical and/or motivational edge over their opponent.
There are strong preseason systems I rely on each year and during the offseason I make revisions and look for other winning situations. Most have a +60% success rate over a large number of games and have even stronger subsets.
System plays can be a big part of preseason handicapping, provided the rest of the info also indicates a play.
Target underdogs in strong situations. I tend to favor underdogs in general but there are so many X factors involved in preseason games that it’s no surprise that big dogs have done very well ATS the past 8 preseasons. NFL games can turn on a couple of big plays, even in the regular season where there are few unknowns. Now add a bunch of 2nd, 3rd, and 4th stringers all playing in different combinations against each other in games that have no importance in the standings. It’s easy to see why these teams have been long-term moneymakers. It’s gotten trickier the past 3 or 4 seasons because he linesmakers have made some adjustments but we can still gain a significant edge here with the right approach.
QB rotations and past preseason performances. A very important piece of the puzzle. Rookie or inexperienced QB’s are trouble & many preseason games are decided in the 2nd half after the starters are long gone. Quarterback competitions for the #1 or #2 spot are also a positive sign, especially if the coach decides to let them play with the better offensive linemen.
Team depth. Part of the equation is identifying which teams have good depth. There are many back-ups that could be starting on other NFL teams and these players can have a big impact on the game. Other teams are loaded with rookies and free agents and the coaches need to see them perform under game conditions to decide on their final rosters. The team with more depth tends to have an edge provided they are properly motivated.
The big picture. With so many variables affecting preseason games, it’s dangerous to make a play based on a single factor. That holds true with most sports wagers and it’s magnified with preseason. The picks that win consistently have multiple advantages lining up on the same side to indicate a play.
There are a number of strong betting opportunities in the NFL each August and I’ll be looking for the spots to take advantage. The key is recognizing the different factors involved in a matchup and giving them the proper weight. By keeping these strategies in mind & being disciplined with our wagers we’ll give ourselves the best chance to make a solid profit during the NFL preseason.
The 2008/09 NFL betting season is coming, and if you like to bet on the NFL, you are in the best possible place for online betting. The BetUS sportsbook has NFL odds up on a ton of games, totals and propositions, and you will also find NFL future lines up for the Super Bowl as well. Join our sportsbooks today and we’ll help guide you right through to Super Bowl XLIII and beyond!
Powered By: NFL Sports Book Betting
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more. We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning! Send cappers picks an e-mail and we’ll try to answer your question as soon as possible. Because of the large volume of mail cappers picks gets, it may take a couple of days to get a response. Please trust us to know cappers picks will make the right choice for your sports handicapping and sports betting needs and we pride ourselves on our customer service in the sports handicapping industry. The team here at cappers picks encourages you to make educated decisions for offshore and internet sportsbooks to bet with, so we do the hard work for you. CappersPicks.com online sports betting staff are the only website guru’s you’ll need for your sport book lines, reviews of sports betting sites, sports predictions, and sports picks. We have complete confidence in the sports handicappers we promote and the sportsbooks listed on this website – they all offer fair betting lines, fast payouts and top notch customer service. We want to keep you involved all year long with sports gambling, from NHL hockey, to NBA basketball, and right into european soccer season, plus Nascar, Arena Football, NFL football and NCAA and college football betting. Cheer on your favorite teams.