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Posted on 11/16/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
Football Betting – New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions
New York Giants (6-3) vs. Detroit Lions (6-3)
Sunday, November 18th — Ford Field, Detroit — 1:00pm EST
Opening NFL Betting Line: Detroit Lions -1 (50)
Preview
The Giants hit the road after a miserable home loss to Dallas, to face another team vying for an NFC Wildcard spot. The Detroit Lions have been a pleasant surprise this year, but are showing signs of being a one-dimensional football team. They ran for -18 rushing yards last game, and somehow still managed to get a rushing touchdown out of Kevin Jones. Can Eli Manning return to form against the Lions, or will Kitna and the boys steal the show at Ford Field?
NYG Offense vs. Detroit Defense
The Giants were simply outmatched against the Cowboys last weekend, and there is no reason to believe that the Detroit defense will make them look inept again. The passing defense in Detroit is horrific, and gives up 256.7 yards per game. The rushing defense is decent, but teams usually decide to beat them through the air because that is where they are most vulnerable.
Eli Manning has not been deathly efficient through the air, and the Giants aerial attack only averages 196.0 yards per game. But that is in large part due to Brandon Jacobs leading a rushing assault that averages a whopping 134.2 yards per game. Striking that offensive balance will be essential for the Giants as they try to turn their season around and gain the upper hand in the Wildcard race.
Detroit Offense vs. NYG Defense
Dallas proved that New York is deficient when it comes to covering the pass, and that means big trouble for the team from the Big Apple. Detroit passes for 256.7 yards per game behind Jon Kitna and his stable of reliable receivers. Roy Williams will be in one-on-one coverage with Sam Madison plenty of times, and that is a matchup that Detroit must exploit if it hopes to win this game.
But the rushing game is a concern. Somehow, the Lions only managed -18 rush yards last week against Arizona, and the front-seven for New York is much stiffer. Kitna has a quick release and rarely panics, but the Giants and Osi Umenyiora love to get pressure on the quarterback. It should be another long day for the rushing game in Detroit, which only gains 82.7 yards per game.
NFL Betting Trends
-NYG are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
-NYG are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Detroit
-total has gone OVER in 4 of the NYG last 5 games against Detroit
-Detroit is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
Final Verdict
If the Giants are smart they will utilize their ground game to take control of the clock and keep Kitna off the field. Respect him or not, the Lions are still averaging 24.6 points per game. Brandon Jacobs will have to deal with Shaun Rogers all day, but he is as big and bad as they come and will able to pound through the tackles for yards.
NFL Free Picks: NYG 27 Detroit 24
This is a must-win game for both teams because a loss could be the deciding factor in the Wildcard race. Detroit is undefeated at home, but the Giants are a strong road team going 3-1 SU on the road. The savvy betting investor won’t overlook the balanced attack of the Giants in this game, and will take New York in this pick ‘em game.
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