Giants vs. Diamondbacks Preview + Free Pick May 29th, 2008
By: Cappers Picks Staff
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Major League Baseball Betting – San Francisco at Arizona
Things sure have changed for NL West rivals San Francisco Giants, (22-31, 29-24 RL) and Arizona Diamondbacks, (30-23, 26-26 RL) in the past ten days.
Since May 20, the struggling Giants have won six of eight games, getting some solid pitching performances in the process, while the Diamondbacks, one of the best teams in either league all season, have fallen apart somewhat, losing seven of nine overall, including two straight to the Giants in this three-game sports betting series.
Now, after pounding the D-Backs 11-3 on Wednesday night, scoring six runs off Arizona starter Doug Davis, the Giants will turn to high-priced left-handed veteran Barry Zito, (1-8, 5.65 ERA) to pick up where he left off in his last start after serving a brief stint in the team’s bullpen after an atrocious start to the 2008 season.
Zito, the American League Cy Young winner in 2002, limited the Florida Marlins to one run on three hits in 6 2/3 innings on Friday for his first win of the season.
“I think it was good to take a good, hard look at myself in the mirror and ask myself, what am I going to do about this situation?” Zito said. “It’s just going out and being aggressive and being myself.”
“We raised expectations with our start in April (20-8), but you aren’t going to win 20 games every month,” Arizona manager Bob Melvin told his team’s official Web site. “It’s not that easy.”
Arizona will try to end their baseball betting losing streak by countering with their own left-handed veteran Cy Young winner in 44-year-old Randy Johnson, (4-1, 4.03) who has won each of his last four starts, the last two in commanding fashion as he has allowed just one run over 13 innings. Johnson has 4,663 strikeouts in his Hall of Fame-bound career and needs just ten more to surpass disgraced former major-leaguer Roger Clemens for second place on the all-time list behind Nolan Ryan
“I don’t put a lot of credence in that,” Johnson said. “If you don’t win the ballgame, it doesn’t matter.”
Here is a look at tonight’s key sports betting trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks.
The Giants are 8-23 in Zito’s last 31 starts on grass.
The Giants are 2-6 in Zito’s last eight starts vs. National League West.
The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Johnson’s last four starts as a home favorite.
The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Johnson’s last four starts following a team loss in their previous game.
The Over is 5-1 in Zito’s last six road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 4-1-1 in Johnson’s last six starts as a home favorite.
The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Johnson’s last five home starts vs. Giants.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Johnson’s last six home starts vs. Giants.
Analysis: While the Giants are swinging the bats much better than the Diamondbacks, I think Johnson is going to pull off another one of his ‘Big Unit’ performances while shutting down the Giants long enough for the Diamondbacks to avoid the broom in this matchup.
MLB Free Picks: Diamondbacks 3 Giants 2
09:40 PM EST MLB Odds
San Francisco Giants
Barry Zito – L +1½ -120
Randy Johnson – L -1½ EV
Over 9 -110
Under 9 -110
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