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Posted on 12/21/2007 11:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Lock Alert – New York Giants at Buffalo Bills
The New York Giants have turned around that whole, ‘there’s no place like home’ thing completely around as they enter this weeks’ matchup against the surprising Buffalo Bills.
The Giants, (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS, 6-8 O/U), enter this week’s matchup against the Bills looking for their seventh consecutive road win after falling to the Washington Redskins 22-10 at home last week. Te Giants clearly control their playoff destiny as they will clinch a playoff berth with a victory in this game.
While the competitive Bills, (7-7 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 6-8 O/U), have already been eliminated from playoff contention, the Giants have been held to 21 points or less in seven straight games, though they’ve managed to win four of those games.
Buffalo’s playoff hopes were killed by the Cleveland Browns with last week’s 8-0 loss, but Buffalo could clearly play the role of spoiler.
The Giants are ranked 17th in overall offense, averaging 328.8 yards and 21.4 points per game, but have the league’s seventh ranked overall defense which allows 303.9 yards and 20.9 points per game.
The Bills are ranked 30th in overall offense, averaging 279.9 yards and 15.9 points per game and 30th in overall defense, allowing 359.5 yards and 21.4 points per game.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks.
Key Giants Trends
The Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games on turf.
The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Key Bills Trends
The Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Bills are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Giants last four games as a road favorite.
The Under is 6-0 in Giants last six road games.
The Under is 5-1 in Bills last six games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The Over is 4-1 in Bills last five games on turf.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
There are no trends available.
Analysis: This game is an absolute “Lock” football bettors. Bet the farm on the Giants as they will cruise to an easy victory and cover in this contest. Okay, okay, while ‘cruise’ may not be the right word, especially with New York’s inconsistent, you get the idea. The Giants will cover the spread in this contest without a doubt.
NFL Betting Free Picks: Giants – 2½ Points/Over 32½ Total Points
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
New York Giants -2½ -115
Buffalo Bills +2½ -105
Over 32½ -110
Under 32½ -110
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