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Posted on 12/22/2007 10:25 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Bowl Gambling – Golden Eagles vs. Bearcats
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Preview: The Bearcats were one of the most surly teams in the nation this season. With victories over Rutgers, South Florida and Connecticut, they pleased their betting faithful by going 7-4 ATS this season. Can they overcome a double-digit spread to bury the Golden Eagles in the sand at the Papajohns.com Bowl?
Southern Miss Offense vs. Cincinnati Defense
Overcoming injuries has not been the forte of Southern Miss this season. The easiest way to do so is to send forth a strong rushing attack, and that is certainly what Damion Fletcher is doing. Southern Miss averages 202.6 rushing yards per game, and Fletcher is a massive part of that. However, the Bearcats stiff line-backing corps sees to it that rushing offenses get silenced to 106.1 yards per game.
Perhaps the biggest injury of all has been to Chris Johnson, the game changing receiver that was the chief weapon of quarterback Jeremy Young. Without Johnson, Young and the passing game have dwindled to just 193.6 passing yards per game. The Bearcats are vulnerable through the air, allowing 265.0 passing yards per game, but Young is simply not the kind of player that can succeed without talent around him at receiver.
The Golden Eagles average 28.3 points per game, while the Bearcats only surrender 18.6 points per game.
Cincinnati Offense vs. Southern Miss Defense
Quarterback Ben Mauk and the Cincinnati offense have shattered school records this year. This sharp offense averages 36.8 points per game and throws for 282.2 yards on average, while balancing it all out with 157.4 rushing yards per game.
Mauk’s steady throwing has freed up lanes in the interior for Greg Moore and Butler Benton in the backfield. Both are averaging over 5.0 yards per carry. They will have to contend with Gerald McRath at inside line-backer but the Cincinnati offensive line will do a solid job of protecting their rushing assets.
NCAAF Betting Trends
-Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
-total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss’s last 5 games
-Southern Miss is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
-Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
-Cincinnati is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
This game will be anything but close. The Bearcats are playing at a whole new level, and will trounce Southern Miss with ease. The Bearcats betting faithful can rest assured in their team’s ability to decimate the spread against Southern Miss as they have done in the past.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (7-5) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3)
Saturday, December 22 — Legion Field, Birmingham — 1:00pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Line: Cincinnati -12.5 (56)
NCAA Football Betting Free Pick: Southern Miss 21 Cincinnati 38
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