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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAA Football Sportsbooks
Posted on 12/05/2007 10:25:33 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Betting Action – Humanitarian Bowl
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Dec. 31 — Humanitarian Bowl Preview at Boise, Idaho, Fresno State (8-4) vs. Georgia Tech (7-5), 2 p.m. (ESPN2)
LAST POINTSPREAD RESULT: Fresno State beat New Mexico State 30-23, failing to cover as a 13.5-point road favorite. Georgia Tech lost to a red-hot Georgia team 31-17 as a four-point underdog.
LAST MEETING: These two teams hooked up in the 2002 Silicon Valley Bowl. Fresno State won 30-21 as a 6.5-point dog.
ABOUT FRESNO STATE:
The Good News — Tom Brandstater (61%) did a great job cutting down on turnovers, as he threw just five interceptions all year. Even without Ryan Matthews, this team can move the ball on the ground, because running back depth is a strength. Fresno State was 16th in the country in rushing offense.
The Bad News — The Bulldogs defense gave up 410 yards a game, ranking it 76th in the country. That defense also surrendered five yards a carry and 183 yards a game.
FRESNO STATE TRENDS:
* FRES won seven of its last nine games SU
* FRES has played four UNDERS in its last six games
* FRES has covered four straight as a bowl underdog
* FRES has covered five of its last eight games
ABOUT GEORGIA TECH:
The Good News — Tashard Choice is one of the best running backs in the country, rumbling for 1310 yards on 5.3 ypc. The defensive line has done an outstanding job against the run, yielding just 2.8 yards a carry.
The Bad News — The coaching situation was thrown into disarray when Chan Gailey was fired after the loss to Georgia. Paul Johnson of Navy has been signed as the replacement, but he won’t be on the sidelines here. Instead, it is defensive coordinator Jon Tenuta, and the staff that is in place does not really know where it is headed. QB Taylor Bennett has been mediocre at best, completing 49% of his passes for six TD’s and 9 INT’s.
GEORGIA TECH TRENDS:
* GT is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games as a favorite
* The underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in GT’s last 14 games
THE BOTTOM LINE: This is a unique bowl in that it will most likely be played in the freezing cold. Therefore, the “fish out of water” thing comes into play. Do you really think Georgia Tech wants to be in Boise? Probably not. And the coaching upheaval can’t possibly be helpful. Certainly the Yellow Jackets will be able to run the ball. Fresno State’s defense is permissive enough. But the Bulldogs will stack the line, because the passing attack it will face is inferior to most of those they encounter in the WAC. Brandstater is a much steadier option than Bennett. And Pat Hill seems to relish these situations, with four straight covers as a dog in bowls.
NCAA Free Pick: We’ll take the points with Fresno State, the six-point underdog in the Top Sportsbooks college football betting odds.
WHAT: Humanitarian Bowl
WHO: Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS)
WHEN & WHERE: December 31, 2 PM ET at Bronco Stadium in Boise, ID (artificial turf)
BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: GEORGIA TECH -6, Total: 54.5
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