UFC 249 Nurmagomedov vs. Ferguson Pick
Ready for Nurmagomedov vs. Ferguson Free UFC 249 Free Picks and betting odds & predictions? Here is a full breakdown of the leadup, what to expect during the fight, and some logical outcomes.
Event: UFC 249: Nurmagomedov vs. Ferguson Free Picks
Date: April 18, 2020
Time: Main Card: 10 P.M. EST.
Location: To Be Determined
Broadcast: PPV on ESPN+
Main Event: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson
Nurmagomedov and Ferguson will headline UFC 249, the fourth UFC pay per view event of 2020, on April 18th for the UFC Lightweight championship of the world. This very well could be the most anticipated fight the organization has ever put on. That could be contributed to the the sheer fact of it being booked and canceled a number of times. Although true, this is one of the most talented fights in the history of the sport.
Nurmagomedov, long time champion and renowned great, is looking to hold on to his belt and make good on another title defense. His latest defense was against Dustin Poirier in September, where he won by third round submission.
The fascinating thing about fighting Khabib is his opponents know what to expect. A heavy ground game and him to faint in and out with different chokes and submissions. What makes him so dominant is no one can stop it. Similar to taking a test in class that you have the answer sheet to, but still failing.
His next opponent will be his hardest opponent yet and if he wins, he will cement himself as one of the best fighters in mixed martial arts history.
Ferguson has been on a winning streak for a number of years and has won dominantly time in and time out. His last win was against UFC legend Donald Cerrone, when he won by doctor stoppage after the second round. He deserves a title shot more than anyone on the roster and will get his chance in a little over a month.
Unlike fighters like Jose Aldo and Yoel Romero getting title shots due to lack of options, Ferguson’s is long overdue.
As for the fight, this one isn’t as easy as many are plaguing it to be. Nurmagomedov is the favorite, as he should be, but many are already chalking in a win for him and a rematch with Conor McGregor. The danger Ferguson presents on the feet as well as his back are unprecedented and will be a new challenge for Khabib.
Khabib’s cardio is by no means impressive, while Ferguson has one of if not the best gas tanks in the UFC. If he can get this fight into the later rounds, a stoppage victory is possible.
Nurmagomedov is the better wrestler and will use that throughout the fight. If he can keep this fight on the ground and not get caught in anything daunting, he should be up on the scorecards when the fight goes in to the later rounds.
MMA Betting UFC 249 Pick: OVER 2.5 Rounds
This isn’t a fight anyone should be comfortable picking a side on. Both fighters have many ways to win and it is just too risky to pick one straight up. However, there are props that entice your boy. The O/U on rounds is 2.5, which I will be taking the over. I think this fight will start somewhat slow and be on the ground for the beginning rounds of the fight. I just do not foresee a circumstance where either of these guys get finished inside 3.
If you want to take Tony Ferguson, him winning in the 4th or 5th round is +1500. I think that is when he could and would win.
Good luck and gamble responsibly and follow my Twitter @RizzMMA for live tweets during UFC 249.