Today’s Free Sports Picks – Your Ticket to Victory!

Tuesday's Free NBA Pick

PLAY ON: Blazers +1.5

Good to: Sacramento +5.5 at -110 or better. Preferred: +6.5.

Sacramento presents an intriguing opportunity to oppose a road favorite whose statistical profile is considerably less convincing than the historical betting systems initially suggest. Orlando opened -5.5 and has climbed to approximately -6.5, despite SportsLine projecting a 117-116 Sacramento victory. That represents 7.5 points of theoretical spread value on the Kings, one of the largest discrepancies on tonight's board.

The challenge is that Orlando qualifies for two profitable historical systems. Road favorites of at least six points coming off games with more than 44 rebounds have compiled a 779-597-25 ATS record, covering 56.6% with an 8.1% historical ROI. Another system involving road favorites on losing streaks has produced a 402-281-15 ATS record, covering 58.9% with a 12.4% ROI. Both favor Orlando, so this is not a clean systems selection.

Nevertheless, the computer projection and market movement create an attractive contrarian opportunity. Sacramento is only 1-9, but the Kings' -0.9 Luck Rating compares favorably with Orlando's -1.3. The Magic are 2-7 themselves, making it difficult to justify laying an increasingly expensive number on the road. The combination of a projected outright Sacramento victory and the market's movement toward Orlando gives the Kings the strongest free-play value, despite the conflicting systems.

1* Free Pick on Raiders +3½

Seattle rolls into Las Vegas without its starting quarterback, and I don't think a field goal and a half properly prices what this offense looks like right now.

Sam Darnold is out. Drew Lock is in line to start again, and even he is questionable with Jalen Milroe behind him, a quarterback who hasn't taken a regular-season snap this year. Seattle has scored 17 points in back-to-back games with Lock running the show, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba just posted a season low in receiving yards working with him.

The protection in front of Lock is a problem too. Left tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson are both doubtful. A backup quarterback behind a patchwork line on the road is a hard way to cover anything.

Seattle is averaging just 19.4 points over its last 5, and the Seahawks are 2-3 in that stretch. This is not the offense the market remembers from earlier in the season.

The Raiders can score on anybody. Kirk Cousins has produced 21 total touchdowns through nine starts. Brock Bowers has hit 70 receiving yards in all seven of his appearances with 6 touchdowns, and Matt Gay is 19-for-21 on field goals kicking indoors. Vegas is averaging 26.4 points a game and hung 38 on the Jets two weeks ago.

Seattle's defense is legitimately good, no argument there. But against a limited offense that struggles to reach 20, the Raiders only need to keep this a one-score game, and they have the weapons to do it at home.

Give me the Raiders +3.5 (-110) in Seahawks at Raiders.

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Los Angeles Clippers +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Los Angeles Clippers in a favorable spot tonight against the Phoenix Suns.  The Clippers are coming off a 139-123 home win over the Pelicans after losing to the Heat in OT the game prior.  They will only be playing their 2nd game in 6 days.  The Suns will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night and their 5th game in 7 days.  They have been through the gauntlet as well with consecutive games against the Rockets and Spurs.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Clippers tonight.  Take Los Angeles.

**6X Top 10 Basketball Handicapper!** Dave finished as the #4 Basketball Capper in 2019-20 and followed it up as the #6 Basketball Capper in 2020-21! He is in the midst of a 53-39 Run L11 Days as well as a 43-17 Run on 7* Top Plays in all sports! Give your book the beating it deserves tonight and hop on board for Dave's Tuesday Basketball 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NBA Total of the Week which is among 2 NBA & 3 NCAAB picks for you to crush your book with tonight ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Wednesday's basketball picks for FREE!

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat -9

The Miami Heat are starting to gel going 4-2 in their last six games.  They are also fully healthy right now and rested, playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.  The same cannot be said for the Jazz, who are without their three best players right now in Jackson Jr., George and Markkanen.  This is the worst roster in the NBA with what they will be putting out there tonight.  And the Jazz were one of the worst teams in the NBA even when these guys have been healthy.  They have gone 1-9 SU & 1-9 ATS this season with six losses by 9 points or more.  Miami should win this game by double-digits.  Give me the Heat.

*Top 10 Overall Capper 4 of L10 Years!*

*#1 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2016-17!*

*#2 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2023-24!*

*#6 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2018-19!*

*#7 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2012-13!*

*#8 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2021-22!*

*5583-5022 Basketball Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $116,790)*

*3603-3241 NBA Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $91,630)*

*2698-2435 NCAAB Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $43,560)*

I am a 6-Time Top 10 NCAAB Capper as well as a 7-Time Top 10 NBA Capper! I am currently the #11 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time on this network when combining college and pro hoops! Come bet with a proven winner today and get your hands on my Tuesday All-Inclusive 7-Pack for $49.99! This card features THREE 5 Unit BEST BETS in the Bucks/Knicks, Illinois/Texas Tech & Montana/San Francisco games tonight! You pay *ONLY $7.14/Play* for all 7 winners, and you are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Wednesday's basketball plays for FREE!

1* Free Sharp Play on Montana +12 -105

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take UCF Knights over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday, November 14, 3:30 p.m., ESPN2)

Both teams have had up-and-down seasons, and the winner clinches bowl eligibility. I like UCF to take care of business at the Acrisure Bounce House and earn its second straight win and third in four games. Arizona State is coming off a home win over Colorado, but the Sun Devils have alternated wins and losses all season. I expect that pattern to continue in Orlando, where I like the Knights to win by double digits.

Get Doc’s Sports’ weekend card for our top plays in football, UFC, basketball, and hockey. Sign up now and put 55 years of handicapping experience to work for you.

Our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday at 11:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Oklahoma City is still playing really well this season even while dealing with these injuries.

In fact, the Thunder are now on a four game winning streak and are just a game outside of first in the Western Conference (played two less games).

Portland is also improved this season. But, the loss of Morant is big, especially in games like this.

The Blazers have lost 19 of the L20 reg season games between these two teams.

The play is on OKC.

AAA Sports