Free EPL Pick Southampton vs. Burnley
Looking for Southampton vs. Burnley free picks? EPL betting sees Southampton taking on Burnley on Thursday, April 21, at Turf Moor UK. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks and tips on all EPL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily EPL predictions and soccer betting tips.
Weekly EPL Handicapping
Burnley vs. Southampton
Date: Thursday, April 21
Time: 07:45 PM
Venue: Turf Moor
EPL Moneyline Odds: Southampton 162 / Draw 225/ Burnley 175
EPL Spread Betting Odds: Southampton -0.5 / Burnley 0.5
EPL Betting Total: 2.5
Heading into this matchup, the Southampton FC is the betting favorite, with the spread set at -0.5 goals. Through 32 matches, they have won by at this margin 13 times. As for Burnley, they enter the match as 0.5 goal underdogs. Through 31 matches, they have covered this margin 19 times.
Southampton
Heading into the Southampton FC’s 33rd game of the season, the team is below .500 at 9-12-11. Southampton will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they are coming off a 1-0 victory over the Arsenal. So far, Southampton has turned in 7 performances with one goal or less. On defense, they picked up their 9th shutout of the year.
So far, the Southampton FC is the 13th rated scoring team, averaging 1.13 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of defense, Southampton is near the MLS average, giving up 1.59 goals per 90 minutes (16th).
Heading into the match, James Ward-Prowse leads the Southampton FC with 7 goals through 30 matches. Behind him is Che Adams, who has also found the net 7 times. To start the year, Southampton has turned to Fraser Forster as their primary goalie. In his 15 starts, he has a save percentage of 68.8%, the 7th best in the MLS. This has come with opponents taking 148 shots on target.
Burnley
Heading into the Burnley 32nd game of the season, the Burnley are below .500 at 4-13-14. Burnley comes into this match off having played to a 1-1 draw against West Ham. So far, Burnley has turned in 17 performances with one goal or less. On defense, Burnley has played 17 games in which they held their opponent to one goal or less.
So far, Burnley is the 19th-rated scoring team, averaging 0.77 goals per 90 minutes of action. On defense, Burnley is 12th in the MLS, giving up 1.42 goals per 90 minutes.
Heading into the match, Maxwel Cornet leads the Burnley with 7 goals through 21 matches. Behind him is Ben Mee, who has also found the net 3 times. To start the year, Burnley has turned to Nick Pope as their primary goalie. In his 29 starts, he has a save percentage of 71.2%, 10th best in the MLS. This has come with opponents taking 138 shots on target.
Free Southampton vs Burnley EPL Prediction:
When looking at how each team has fared while possessing the ball, the Southampton FC have been the better squad at generating opportunites near their opponent’s goal. So far, Southampton ranks 8th in attacking area touches. This compares favorably to the Burnley sitting at 16th in the MLS. In addition to putting pressure on opposing defenses, Southampton has also done a good job keeping their opponents out of the attacking zone, allowing just 5200 possessions in their 3rd of the field (11th). Burnley will be looking to improve their defensive play, as opposing teams have had no problem generating looks near the goal, ranking 16th in attacking possessions allowed.
This matchup between Southampton and Burnley features two teams looking to improve their below .500 records. When looking at the offense of each team, Southhampton has the edge, ranking 13th in the league compared to Burnely at 19.
However, despite their bad overall record, Burnley is an above-average defensive unit, giving up the 12th fewest goals in the Premier League. A key reason for their success has been their ability to limit on-target shot attempts. Look for this matchup to be a low-scoring draw.
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