– Last Updated on September 2, 2020 9:35 am
Free Champions League Pick PSG vs. Bayern Munich
Looking for PSG vs. Bayern Munich free picks? Champions League betting sees PSG taking on Bayern Munich on Sunday, August 23th, at The Estadio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all Champions League football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily European football predictions and soccer betting tips.
Weekly Champions League Handicapping
PSG vs. Bayern Munich
Matchday Stats
Date: Sunday, August 23th
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal
Champions League Moneyline Odds: +220/+320/+100
Champions League Spread Betting Odds: OFF
Champions League Betting Total: 3.5 Over: -110 Under: -110
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After not thinking we would get a Champions League this year we are now in for what is primed to be one of the best finals of all time in the competition.
PSG
Paris are in this match this Sunday via their win against Leipzig in the semis which they won by a scoreline of 3-0. That was a game where Leipzig finally looked completely over matched and their loss of Timo Werner to Chelsea really showed as Nkunku, Olmo and Poulsen were thoroughly shut down by an average PSG defense.
The game before that is the one to really look at from a handicapping angle, as they were extremely lucky in getting past Atalanta, as it took 2 very late goals for them to win that quarter final contest by the score of 2-1. Atalanta also had plenty of opportunities to score in that game and if they were more clinical they would have put 3 past the Parisians.
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We got to see just how important Mbappe was in that game against Atalanta, as the game completely changed in PSG’s favor once he was subbed in. He will now be starting this one with Neymar and what is likely to be Angel di Maria on the left side who completes one of the most terrifying offenses in all of European football.
In terms of overall formation German coach Thomas Teuchel will likely stay with a 4-3-3 formation with the three big guns up top and possibly bringing Veratti in the midfield as well. I can’t see them thinking they will keep Bayern off the scoreboard in this one, so look for them to be pushing forward often and also risking goals at the back on the other end.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich are favorites in this one as they are instilled as +100 favorites and it must be said that that is deserved based on their performances since Hansi Flick has taken over. They won both the Bundesliga and DFB Pokal with ease and will look to win the treble just like they did back in 2013.
They do get a tough matchup here, though, which is to be expected in a final in PSG who match up with them really well tactically. Alphonso Davies has not really been tested speed wise by many of his opponents on the year, but that certainly will change with the likes of Mbappe and Neymar on the other side.
I feel like ”Phonzie” is one of the keys to Bayern’s victory on Sunday with him needing to keep pace with Mbappe, but also being careful enough to not foul Neymar in dangerous positions and give away key set pieces.
Once again though, just like PSG, this team is all about going forward and they have offensive firepower to match that of PSG in Robert Lewandowski, Thomas Mueller and Serge Gnabry all being world class going forward and who should have a field day against this PSG defense.
The one thing Bayern might be worried about at this point though, is that it seems like Lewandowski struggles to score in the big games and that criticism is backed up by his numbers in Champions League semi-finals.
In terms of tactics Bayern will stick with their 4-2-3-1 which they have been using for a long time here with the wing backs pushing way up the field with it being the job of Leon Goretzka and Thiago to get back and cover when PSG are on the break.
Free PSG vs Bayern Munich Champions League Prediction:
I think Bayern will have enough to get past PSG this Sunday and that mostly comes down to believing in their defense significantly more. Although Bayern looks like a decent bet, I think the over is the way to go in this one even if it seems like a bit of a square play.
Bayern are going to boss most of the game and plenty of opportunities should present themselves to the Bavarians, but I also see them getting hit on the break by PSG, so with the line set at 3.5 I think there is more value there than there is on Bayern.
4* Free Champions League Betting Pick: Over 3.5 goals -110
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