Free MLS Pick Philadelphia vs. Toronto FC
Looking for Philadelphia vs. Toronto FC free picks? MLS betting sees Philadelphia Union taking on Toronto FC Saturday, April 16 at BMO Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLS soccer matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE MLS predictions.
MLS Handicapping
Philadelphia vs. Toronto FC
Date: Saturday, April 16
Time: 07:30 PM
Venue: BMO Field
MLS Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia 142 / Draw 230/ Toronto FC 175 (Bet Now!)
MLS Spread Betting Odds: Philadelphia -0.5 / Toronto 0.5
MLS Betting Total: O/U 2.5
Heading into this matchup, the Philadelphia Union are the betting favorites, with the spread set at -0.5 goals. Through 6 matches, they have won by this margin 5 times. As for the Toronto FC, they enter the match as 0.5-goal underdogs. Through 6 matches, they have covered this margin 4 times.
Philadelphia
The Philadelphia Union travel to take on the Toronto FC, with an above .500 record, at 5-1-0. This mark places them 1st in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they are coming off a 1-0 victory over the Columbus Crew. So far, the Philadelphia Union have yet to turn in a performance with one goal or less. On defense, they picked up their 4th shutout of the year.
So far, the Philadelphia Union have been an above-average scoring team, at 1.5 goals per 90 minutes (12th). Defensively, Philadelphia is off to a good start, ranking 1st in scoring defense. So far, the team is giving up an average of just 0.33 goals per 90 minutes.
On offense, Philadelphia is led by the strong play of Dániel Gazdag and Alejandro Bedoya, who have each found the net 4 times. So far, their combined goals account for 66.6% of the team’s overall scoring. In terms of goalie play, Philadelphia has gotten good performances from Andre Blake. On the season, opposing teams have accumulated 19 shots on target, in which Blake has turned away at a rate of 89.5%. This percentage is good for 1st in the MLS.
Toronto FC
As the Toronto FC play host to the Philadelphia Union, they hope to move above .500, as through 6 matches, they have a record of 2-2-2. This mark places them 8th in the Eastern Conference. Toronto comes into this match off having played to a 2-2 draw against Real Salt Lake. For the season, the Toronto FC have finished 3 matches having scored at least two goals. While on defense, Toronto’s defense has given up at least two goals 3 times this year.
So far, the Toronto FC is the 13th rated scoring team, averaging 1.33 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of defense, Toronto is near the MLS average, giving up 1.83 goals per 90 minutes (20th).
Heading into the match, Jesús Jiménez leads Toronto with 3 goals through 6 matches. Behind him is Jonathan Osorio, who has also found the net 2 times. To start the season, goalie Alex Bono is turning home goals at a rate near the league average. This has come with the Toronto FC’s opponents have generated a total of 37 shots on target. Bono is saving these attempts at a rate of 70.3%.
Free Philadelphia vs. Toronto FC MLS Final Analysis:
When looking at each team’s scoring opportunites, the Toronto FC holds the edge in attacking area possessions, ranking 12th in the league. On the other side, Philadelphia Union is just 20th in the same category. Given that Philadelphia has been better at putting pressure on opposing defenses, look for this to continue as Toronto FC’s defense ranks 21st in attacking possessions allowed. However, even though the Toronto FC is a below-average unit in generating attacking possessions, they could benefit from taking on a Philadelphia Union defense that also gives up an above average amount of attacking area possessions.
In this match, look for Toronto’s offense to struggle against one of the top defensive groups in the MLS. Given that Toronto averages just 7 shots per game, look for goals to be tough to come by. I recommend taking Philadelphia to pick up the win.
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