Free MLS Playoffs Pick Philadelphia vs. NYCFC
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MLS Playoffs Handicapping
Philadelphia vs. NYCFC
Date: Saturday, March 19
Time: 01:00 PM
Venue: Yankee Stadium
MLS Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia 380 / Draw 280/ NYCFC -145 (Bet Now!)
MLS Spread Betting Odds: Philadelphia 0.5 / New York -0.5
MLS Betting Total: O/U 2.5
Heading into this matchup, the Philadelphia Union are the 0.5 goal underdogs. Through 3 matches, they have covered this margin 3 times. As for the New York City FC, they enter the match as -0.5 goal favorites. Through 3 matches, they have won by this margin 1 time.
Philadelphia
The Philadelphia Union travel to take on the New York City FC, with an above .500 record, at 2-1-0. This mark places them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they are coming off a 2-0 victory over San Jose. For the season, the Philadelphia Union have finished 2 matches having scored at least two goals. On defense, they picked up their 1st shutout of the year.
So far, the Philadelphia Union have been an above-average scoring team, at 1.67 goals per 90 minutes (7th). In terms of scoring defense, Philadelphia will look to continue with their strong play as they are giving up just 0.67 goals per 90 minutes, placing them 4th in the league.
On offense, Philadelphia is led by the strong play of Cory Burke and Dániel Gazdag, who have each found the net 2 times. So far, their combined goals account for 80.0% of the team’s overall scoring. To start the year, Philadelphia has turned to Andre Blake as their primary goalie. In his 3 starts, he has a save percentage of 83.3%, 8th best in the MLS. This has come with opponents taking 12 shots on target.
NYCFC
As the New York City FC play host to the Philadelphia Union, they hope to move above .500, as through 3 matches, they have a record of 1-1-1. This mark places them 7th in the Eastern Conference. New York comes into the game following a 4-1 win over CF Montréal. For the season, the New York City FC have finished 1 match having scored at least two goals. On defense, New York has played 2 games in which they held their opponent to one goal or less.
So far, New York City FC is the 13th rated scoring team, averaging 1.33 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of scoring defense, New York is tied with Philadelphia, giving up an average of 0.67 goals per 90 minutes.
Heading into the match, Santiago Rodríguez leads New York with 1 goal through 3 matches. To start the year, NYCFC has turned to Sean Johnson as their primary goalie. In his 3 starts, he has a save percentage of 80.0%, 10th best in the MLS. This has come with opponents taking 10 shots on target.
Free Philadelphia vs. NYCFC MLS Final Analysis:
In this matchup, I like Philadelphia to pick up the win. Not only have the Union scored more goals, the quality of their shots indicate they should have at least one additional goal on the season. In addition, the Union have been the more efficient team, needing only 38 shots to rack up 5 goals.
On the other side, advanced statistics show, NYCFC should only have three goals this year, compared to their season total of 4. This has come on 41 shot attempts. So far, only 29% of their shot attempts have been classified as on target.
Look for the Philadelphia Union to come away with a win, as the two teams have similar defensive profiles, but the Union hold a distinct advantage on offense.
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