Free EPL Pick Liverpool vs. Southampton
Looking for Liverpool vs. Southampton free picks? EPL betting sees Liverpool taking on Southampton on Tuesday May 17, at St. Mary’s Stadium UK. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks and tips on all EPL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily EPL predictions and soccer betting tips.
Weekly EPL Handicapping
Southampton vs. Liverpool
Date: Tuesday May 17
Time: 07:45 PM
Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium
EPL Moneyline Odds: Liverpool -250 / Draw 400/ Southampton 650
EPL Spread Betting Odds: Liverpool -0.5 / Southampton 0.5
EPL Betting Total: 2.5
Heading into this matchup, Liverpool is the betting favorite, with the spread set at -0.5 goals. Through 36 matches, they have won by this margin 44 times. As for the Southampton, they enter the match as 0.5-goal underdogs. Through 36 matches, they have covered this margin 28 times.
Liverpool
The Liverpool travel to take on the Southampton, with an above .500 record, at 26-8-2. Liverpool comes into this match off having played to a 0-0 draw against Chelsea. This game was the 5th time they were shut out on offense. On defense, they picked up their 32nd shutout of the year.
Through 36 matches, Liverpool has found the net, 142, placing them 2nd in the MLS with a per 90 average of 2.47. Defensively, Liverpool is off to a good start, ranking 1st in scoring defense. So far, the team is giving up an average of just 0.64 goals per 90 minutes.
Heading into the match, Mohamed Salah leads Liverpool with 22 goals through 34 matches. Behind him is Sadio Mané, who has also found the net 15 times. To start the season, goalie Alisson is turning away goals at a rate near the league average. This has come with the Liverpool’s opponents having generated a total of 98 shots on target. Alisson is saving these attempts at a rate of 75.6%.
Southampton
Heading into the Southampton 37th game of the season, the Southampton FC is below .500 at 9-13-14. In their last match, Southampton lost to the Brentford by a score of 3-0. This game being the 9th time they were shut out on offense. While on defense, Southampton’s defense has given up at least two goals 15 times this year.
So far, the Southampton is the 13th rated scoring team, averaging 1.08 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of defense, Southampton is near the MLS average, giving up 1.64 goals per 90 minutes (17th).
Heading into the match, James Ward-Prowse leads the Southampton FC with 9 goals through 34 matches. Behind him is Che Adams, who has also found the net 7 times. In terms of goalie play, Southampton has gotten good performances from Fraser Forster. On the season, opposing teams have accumulated 169 shots on target, in which Forster has turned home at a rate of 66.3%. This percentage is good for 4th in the MLS.
Free Liverpool vs Southampton EPL Prediction:
Coming into this matchup, both Liverpool and Southampton have done an excellent job at generating possessions in the attacking area of the field. So far, the Liverpool are 2nd in attacking area touches, while the Southampton ranks 7th. Heading into this game, something has to give, as both the Southampton and Liverpool rank well in generated attacking possessions and attacking possessions allowed. So far, Southampton has given up 5799 possessions near the goal (9th) compared to Liverpool at 2nd (3571).
In this matchup, I recommend taking the over at 2.5 goals, as both Southampton and Liverpool are excellent at generating shots. So far, Liverpool ranks 2nd in the EPL in overall shots taken, while Southampton is 6th. Their strong offensive play has also led to elite rankings in on-target shooting numbers. Look for this to play out in what should be a high-scoring game. I see this match, surpassing 2.5 goals.
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