Free MLS Playoffs Pick FC Cincinnati vs. Charlotte FC
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MLS Playoffs Handicapping
FC Cincinnati vs. Charlotte FC
Date: Saturday, March 26
Time: 05:00 PM
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
MLS Moneyline Odds: FC Cincinnati 280 / Draw 250/ Charlotte FC -108 (Bet Now!)
MLS Spread Betting Odds: Cincinnati 0.5 / Montreal -0.5
MLS Betting Total: O/U 2.5
Heading into this matchup, the FC Cincinnati are the 0.5 goal underdogs. Through 4 matches, they have covered this margin 2 times. As for the Charlotte FC, they enter the match as -0.5 goal favorites. Through 4 matches, they have won by this margin once.
FC Cincinnati
The FC Cincinnati travel to take on the Charlotte FC, with an above .500 record, at 2-0-2. This mark places them 8th in the Eastern Conference. Cincinnati will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they are coming off a 3-1 victory over the Inter Miami. For the season, FC Cincinnati has finished 2 matches having scored at least two goals. On defense, Cincinnati has played 2 games in which they held their opponent to one goal or less.
So far, the FC Cincinnati are the 16th rated scoring team, averaging 1.25 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of defense, Cincinnati is near the MLS average, giving up 1.75 goals per 90 minutes (18th).
On offense, FC Cincinnati is led by the strong play of Brandon Vazquez and Rónald Matarrita, who have each found the net 4 times. So far, their combined goals account for 100.0% of the team’s overall scoring. To start the year, FC Cincinnati has turned to Alec Kann as their primary goalie. In his 4 starts, he has a save percentage of 57.1%, 6th best in the MLS. This has come with opponents taking 14 shots on target.
Charlotte FC
The Charlotte FC will host the FC Cincinnati, with an above .500 record, at 1-0-3. This mark places them 12th in the Eastern Conference. Montreal comes into the game following a 3-1 win over New England. For the season, Charlotte FC has played 1 match having scored at least two goals. On defense, Montreal has played 2 games in which they held their opponent to one goal or less.
So far, the Charlotte FC is the 17th rated scoring team, averaging 1.0 goals per 90 minutes of action. In terms of defense, Montreal is near the MLS average, giving up 1.75 goals per 90 minutes (20th).
On offense, Charlotte FC is led by the strong play of Karol Świderski and Adam Armour, who have each found the net 2 times. So far, their combined goals account for 75.0% of the team’s overall scoring. To start the season, goalie Kristijan Kahlina is turning home goals at a rate near the league average. This has come with the Charlotte FC’s opponents have generated a total of 20 shots on target. Kahlina is saving these attempts at a rate of 80.0%.
Free FC Cincinnati vs. Charlotte FC MLS Final Analysis:
At first glance, it is not obvious why Charlotte enters this game as the betting favorite, as they have just one win, while also have fewer goals. However, when digging into the numbers, it is apparent that Charlotte should pull out the win.
So far, Cincinnati has taken 52 total shots compared to Charlotte at 43. However, even with fewer overall attempts, Charlotte has 20 shots on goal, while Cincinnati has just 17. Per 90 minutes, Charlotte is averaging 5 shots, placing near the top of the league.
I expect Charlotte’s scoring output to take a jump over the coming games, as they have been able to generate goals at a rate near the league average, despite ranking in the bottom half of the MLS in touches in the attacking area. Given that Cincinnati struggles to keep opponents out of this area, I expect a big scoring night from Charlotte.
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