Free NCAAF Pick: Badgers vs. Wolverines Odds
Looking for Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Badgers taking on the Wolverines on 10/4 at Michigan Stadium, in Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Badgers Wolverines free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines
(2-2) Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines (3-1)
Date: Oct 04, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Michigan Stadium in Michigan, MI
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Badgers +577 | Wolverines -910 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Badgers +16.5 | Wolverines -16.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 42.5
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Badgers vs. Wolverines Gameday
To start, Week 6 brings Wisconsin into Ann Arbor for a date with Michigan. The Badgers come in at 2-2, desperate to clean up their road form and stay alive in the Big Ten race. The Wolverines, sitting at 3-1 and ranked No. 20, will be happy to test them at the Big House.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s resume is light. Wins came at home against Middle Tennessee and Miami (OH), but losses to Maryland and Alabama showed how far they have to climb. At 0-1 in the conference, they need to flip the script fast.
Additionally, Michigan rides momentum after a 30-27 win over Nebraska, powered by a ground game that chewed up 290 rushing yards. Add in a spotless 2-0 record at home, and the Wolverines look well-positioned to protect their turf.
Historically, these teams have traded wins, but Michigan did grab the last one in 2021. FOX has the broadcast at noon Saturday from Michigan Stadium.
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2025 College Football Handicapping
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It’s Week 6, Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines — a classic Big Ten clash.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Odds & Last 5
First, the oddsmakers are leaning heavily toward Michigan. The Wolverines are -848 on the moneyline, while Wisconsin’s +572 tag says “serious underdog.”
On the spread, Michigan is laying -16.5 points, with the total at 42.5. Books are pointing to a game with enough defense to keep it under control, not a scoreboard explosion.
Furthermore, recent results back the line. Wisconsin put up just 14 in a loss at Alabama and only 10 against Maryland. Michigan, meanwhile, showed balance against Nebraska, and their run game has been the consistent hammer.
Wolverines Stats
Michigan has stacked 140 points this season, ranking 43rd nationally. Their rushing attack sits at 1,027 yards (23rd), and it’s been their identity from the jump.
Defensively, they’ve allowed only 71 points. Fifteen sacks rank them 6th in the nation, and six interceptions place them 7th. They even have two fumble recoveries, proving they can take the ball away in multiple ways.
Moreover, their path so far has featured a dominant 63-3 win over Central Michigan, a close call with Nebraska, and a setback versus Oklahoma. Still, they’ve shown resilience.
Quarterback Bryce Underwood is steady, throwing for 733 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Justice Haynes has powered the ground game with 537 yards and six TDs, while Semaj Morgan leads receivers with 143 yards.
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Badgers Stats
Wisconsin’s offense has been uneven. They’ve scored 83 points (78th nationally) with 823 passing yards (96th) and 514 rushing yards (106th). It hasn’t been enough balance to scare defenses.
Defensively, they’ve allowed 75 points, which is respectable (45th nationally). Their pass rush has 10 sacks (11th), and they’ve created three interceptions. That’s kept them competitive, but breakdowns show up against stronger opponents.
Their 27-10 loss to Maryland and 38-14 setback to Alabama exposed weaknesses. Wins against lighter competition like Middle Tennessee and Miami (OH) are on the other end of the scale. Now injuries to Jake Renfro and Billy Edwards Jr. put even more stress on their depth.
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Badgers vs. Wolverines QB Matchup
Bryce Underwood has been efficient for Michigan. He’s thrown for 733 yards with two touchdowns and just one interception in four games. Protecting the ball has been a strength, even if his national ranking isn’t eye-popping.
On the other side, Danny O’Neil leads Wisconsin with 640 yards passing, five touchdowns, and five interceptions. He’s flashed scoring ability but his decision-making has cost them drives.
Bottom line in this Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines matchup: Underwood gives Michigan stability, while O’Neil’s turnover tendency is the X-factor that could make or break Wisconsin’s chances.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Football Betting Trends
- Wisconsin has gone 3-0 in over/under in their last 3 away games.
- Additionally, Wisconsin is 6-3 in over/under as an underdog in their last 9 games.
- Wisconsin is 14-10 straight up after a loss in their last 24 games.
- Michigan is 29-1 straight up as a favorite in their last 30 games.
- Also, Michigan has hit the over in their last 7 home games.
- Michigan is 26-4 straight up after a win in their last 30 games.
Badgers vs Wolverines Prediction: Michigan -16.5
Michigan has been rock solid as a favorite, winning 29 of their last 30 games outright. They’re also riding a two-game win streak and have cashed the over in seven straight at home, which highlights both their offensive firepower and comfort in Ann Arbor.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin has struggled to find their footing on the road, going 0-1 away from home this season while dropping two straight overall.
Offensively, the Badgers just don’t have the same firepower as Michigan, which makes it tough to picture them trading blows for four quarters. On top of that, Michigan’s defense ranks 6th in sacks and 7th in interceptions, giving them multiple ways to disrupt Wisconsin’s rhythm.
All told, the Wolverines’ balanced attack and dominant defense at home make the -16.5 spread look very manageable. This is a spot where Michigan should control the game on both sides of the ball and cover comfortably.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Saturday » Homecoming
Saturday » Maize Out#GoBlue | https://t.co/sJ9pjqlM1B pic.twitter.com/dpNLO58axf— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) September 29, 2025
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