Free NCAA Football Prediction: Commodores vs. Gators Odds
Looking for Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators free picks? College football betting sees the Commodores taking on the Gators on Saturday, October 9th at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainseville, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 6 predictions like this Vanderbilt- Florida free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(2-3) Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 9th, 2021
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainseville, FL
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Commodores +39, Gators -39
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Commodores +14300 Gators-29700
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 59.5
Two teams from the SEC East will be squaring off on Saturday when the Vanderbilt Commodores visit the Florida Gators.
Vanderbilt is coming off of a win and Florida is coming off a loss in week 5.
The Gators started off laying around 35 points, but that number has gone up to around 39. I have seen most totals at 59.5, but some have hit 60.
Once again, Vanderbilt did not have very high expectations for this season. Frankly, I am surprised that they have won 2 games.
The Commodores were 15 point favorites against UCONN last week. They did not cover the spread, but they did win the game by a score of 30-28. Although it was against a terrible school, they will take a win against anybody.
Quarterback Ken Seals was 27/30 for 333 yards with 2 touchdown passes and 1 interception. Rocko Grifin rushed the ball 19 times for 77 yards. Will Sheppard was the leading receiver. He had 8 receptions for 119 yards.
The defense for this team has really struggled this year. In their last 2 games, they have allowed 90 points. This unit will be challenged big time when going against the offense for Florida.
The #20 team in the nation has had mixed results so far this year. They look good at times, but they have yet to play consistently well. This is a good week for them to get back on track.
The Gators failed to cover as 8.5 point favorites against the Kentucky Wildcats last Saturday. In fact, they lost the game outright by a score of 20-13.
Emory Jones was 23/31 for 203 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 pick. I expect him to be much better this week when going against that Vandy defense. A week ago, he never seed to get into a rhythm.
Jones also happened to be the leading rusher for the Gators. He averaged almost 5 yards per rush. The leading receiver was Jacob Copeland who had 6 catches for 59 yards. For the most part, though, the Kentucky defense did a very good job of slowing down a powerful offense in Florida.
Even though they lost to the Wildcats, the defense was not the unit to blame. The Kentucky quarterback was only 7/17 for 87 yards and 1 interception. They did more than enough to keep their team in the game. I look for the defense to get a lot of pressure on Ken Seals.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Vanderbilt is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Vanderbilt is 2-13 SU in their last 15 games.
- Vanderbilt is 0-7 SU in their last 7games against Florida.
- Vanderbilt is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
- Florida is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.
- Florida is 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.
- Florida is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home against Vanderbilt.
- The total has gone under in 5 of Florida’s last 5 games against an opponent from the SEC East.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Pick
I like the Total to go under 59.5 points here.
4* Free Week 6 NCAA Betting Pick: Under 59.5
Yes, I did consider laying the 39 points with Florida here, but that number is too high for me even though I feel the Gators will win handily. What I feel better about is the under 59.5 points. I have a hard time seeing Vanderbilt put up points on this stout Florida defense. On the other hand, I do not feel that the Gators will have much trouble scoring their fair share of points. Vandy may hang with them for a bit, but this should be a blowout relatively soon.
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