Free NCAA Football Prediction: USC vs. Notre Dame Odds
Looking for USC Trojans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish free picks? College football betting sees the Trojans taking on the Fighting Irish on Saturday, November 26th, 2022, at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Trojans Fighting Irish free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: USC Trojans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
USC Trojans (10-1) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3)
Date: Saturday, November 26th, 2022
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: USC -5.5 (-110) / Notre Dame +5.5 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: USC -219 / Notre Dame +175
NCAA Betting Total Odds: 64.5
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Rivalry week brings us an oldschool matchup of longtime foes.
USC did not disappoint last week at the Rose Bowl when they beat UCLA 48-45 in a back and forth contest. The latest poll placed the Trojans at #6, but an LSU loss in the SEC title game to Georgia and one of Ohio State and Michigan losing, it’s not inconceivable they could make the top four.
Notre Dame has had a rollercoaster of a season but have recovered nicely to this point. The #15 Irish have won 5 in a row, including beating #4 Clemson in South Bend. While they won’t go to the national semis, they can still secure a high profile bowl game and with a win, have a very successful season.
USC Trojans
No one can accuse the Trojans of being boring on offense! USC has averaged 40.1 ppg in conference play this season with Williams at the helm. Pitt transfer Jordan Addison has been as advertised, leading all USC pass catchers with 765 yards and 8 scores.
RB Travis Dye missed their last contest, but the offense didn’t suffer too much. The Trojans rank 4th in offensive success rate and lean mostly on their passing attack. Williams should also get credit for his rushing ability which Notre Dame will have to contend with.
The defensive unit has had their struggles throughout the year. In conference play they’ve allowed 28.7 ppg and rank 118th in defensive success rate, which tells us they’re not forcing punts too much. The Trojans haven’t been able to stop the run, which is what Notre Dame will look to do.
USC ranks 124th in defensive rushing success rate and have surrendered nearly 150 rushing yards per game.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame is one of the most run heavy teams in college this year, running about 60% of the time. Drew Pyne is asked to pass in spots and finds success against weak fronts that have chose to stack the box.
The Irish are quite successful when run too. They’re 23rd in rushing success rate and don’t find themselves in passing downs very often. Consider that they ran 47 times for 263 yards on Clemson’s front and the think about what the USC defense will do!
Can they keep up with the USC offense? Running vs. Passing is kind of like bringing a knife to a gun fight, but let’s see what the data says. USC is a pass heavy offense and the Irish have been solid against aerial attacks. They rank 8th in defensive passing success rate but have struggled defending explosiveness.
The Irish are 26th in the country in defensive touchdown rate, allowing 6 on only 20.5% of opponent drives.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 5 games
- Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California’s last 5 games
4* Free USC Trojans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
USC has an electric offense and have scored a touchdown on 50.5% of offensive drives this season (2nd). Notre Dame represents a big step up in competition compared to their PAC-12 schedule.
I think Notre Dame’s defense can challenge the USC offense enough and I also think the Trojan D won’t be able to stop the Notre Dame rushing attack.
The Irish are 2-0 ATS as road underdogs this season covering by an average of 10.8 points. We’re taking the points in this road rivalry game.
4* Free USC Trojans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Betting Pick: Notre Dame +5.5
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