Free Week 11 Prediction: Running Rebels vs Aztecs Odds
Looking for UNLV Running Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Running Rebels taking on the Aztecs on Saturday November 10 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this UNLV San Diego State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(2-7) UNLV Running Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 10 2018
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: Aztecs -22.5
NCAA Betting Total: 53.5
Live CFB Odds
Updated Sportsbook Bonuses For Today
It seemed like this might be a year for UNLV but it quickly unravelled and then injuries set in turning a bad situation worse. A win in this spot would be a shock.
For San Diego State their demise has been a little softer than expected. They might not be the best Group of Five team in the nation but they are definitely not embarrassing themselves.
UNLV Running Rebels
The Running Rebels were 2-1 and now they are 2-7 and in between they have not been very competitive. This is a run first team that is missing their top quarterback, though he might be back in the saddle this weekend, for better or worse.
Lexington Thomas was a monster last season with more than 1300 yards and 17 TDs. This season he will be lucky to crack 1000 yards as he has had just one 100+ yard game since that 2-1 start. Those number are very likely correlated.
The defense has been a sieve this season but that was to be expected. Last week they gave up 48 points in a loss to Fresno State. That kind of poor performance is not all that uncommon this season and odds are the Aztecs are going to roll them.
San Diego State Aztecs
SDSU is just behind Fresno State in the West Division of the MWC. They are playing the Bulldogs next week so they could be caught looking ahead but at the same time they would really have to be distracted to lose this contest. Really be distracted.
The Aztecs are not going to have a 2000 yard rusher this season. They are still committed to the running game but they are just not explosive like that this season, The offense is just good enough get the victory this season.
San Diego State is still one of the best defenses in the country. They are giving up just 20ppg and less than 300 yards per game. They should be able to shut down UNLV pretty easily by forcing them to pass, which they are not very good at. The defense should set the tone early too.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 12-4 in UNLV last 16 games in November.
- UNLV are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Over is 7-3 in UNLV last 10 games on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in SDSU last 8 games in November.
- SDSU are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 23-9-1 in SDSU last 33 home games.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
This is a big number but at the same time it might not be big enough. UNLV lost to Fresno State by 45 points last weekend and a similar result would not be a shock.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State -22.5
Look for the Aztecs to dominate in all phases in this one. That doesn’t mean they are going to be scoring quickly or at will but the final will get the cover.
Whenever I think of backing a big favourite like this I always break it down into smaller parts. For this one I do think the Aztecs can win every quarter by a touchdown.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 34 – UNLV 6
If you’re looking for more picks like this UNLV Running Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs matchup we’ll be providing 4* free College football game predictions on the blog all bowl season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free CFB Football picks!
Check out our Updated College Football Betting Odds.