Free NCAAF Pick: Runnin’ Rebels vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Free NCAA Week 15 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Runnin’ Rebels taking on the Broncos on 12/5 at Albertsons Stadium, in Boise, ID. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Runnin’ Rebels Broncos free pick in the 2025 Mountain West Championship game.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs Boise State Broncos
2025 Mountain West Championship
(10-2) UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos (8-4)
Date: Dec 05, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Runnin’ Rebels +144 | Broncos -177 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Runnin’ Rebels +3.5 | Broncos -3.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 58.5
Here’s why I’m backing a UNLV ATS bet below in my Runnin’ Rebels Broncos free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Runnin’ Rebels vs. Broncos Gameday
This Mountain West Championship matchup sends UNLV to Albertsons Stadium with a 10-2 record and a strong 5-1 mark on the road. Their consistency away from home has been a major part of their success.
Boise State counters with an 8-4 record and a matching 5-1 mark at home. Also, their history in this matchup gives them confidence heading into championship week.
The Broncos won the Week 8 meeting 56-31 and have taken four straight games against UNLV.
Still, the Rebels arrive with a four-game win streak that continued with their 42-17 victory over Nevada.
Boise State has also stacked wins, including a narrow 25-24 result over Utah State. Therefore, both teams enter with momentum, adding intrigue to this championship showdown.
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It’s Week 15, UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos, hopefully we get a great matchup.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Odds & Last 5
The current odds list UNLV at +147 on the moneyline, with Boise State favored at -178. The spread sits at Broncos -3.5, and the total is posted at 58.5 points.
UNLV continues to show balance during their four-game win streak. Also, their 42-17 win over Nevada underscored their ability to travel well and control games.
Boise State comes in with two straight wins. Eventually, their tight victory over Utah State reinforced how well they handle close games at home.
Both teams have shown strong form in recent weeks, making this a compelling matchup for the conference title.
Broncos Stats
Boise State enters with a productive offense, scoring 370 points to rank 36th nationally. Their passing total of 2,887 yards ranks 54th, while their 2,294 rushing yards sit 31st. Their 273 first downs place them 20th.
The defense has allowed 278 points, ranking 94th, but they remain opportunistic with 14 interceptions and seven recovered fumbles. Also, their turnover creation continues to give them critical possessions.
Boise State’s recent results include a 25-24 win over Utah State and a 49-21 victory over Colorado State. Still, losses to San Diego State and Fresno State showed the inconsistency they continue to work through.
Key contributors include quarterback Maddux Madsen with 1,994 passing yards and Dylan Riley with 1,016 rushing yards.
Also, injury updates may influence how the Broncos structure their offensive plans.
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Runnin’ Rebels Stats
UNLV enters on a strong run, winning four of their last five games. Their most recent outing—a 42-17 win over Nevada—showed efficiency across both sides of the ball.
Their offense ranks 12th nationally with 446 points. Also, their rushing unit stands out with 2,473 yards, ranking 17th and giving them reliable balance.
Defensively, UNLV forces turnovers at a high rate, ranking 14th in interceptions with 13 and 6th in fumble recoveries with eight. Still, they sit 122nd in points allowed, highlighting the volatility within their defensive profile.
Quarterback Anthony Colandrea leads with 3,050 passing yards, ranking 21st in the nation.
Meanwhile, running back Jai’Den Thomas continues to drive the offense with 944 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns.
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Runnin’ Rebels vs. Broncos QB Matchup
Maddux Madsen leads Boise State with 1,994 passing yards across 10 games. He has 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions, giving him a top role within the Broncos’ offense.
Backup Max Cutforth has appeared in eight games with 857 passing yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. His experience provides depth when needed.
UNLV’s offense runs through Anthony Colandrea, who has totaled 3,050 yards with 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Additionally, his national ranking of 21st in yardage continues to reflect his importance to the team.
Alex Orji adds depth for the Rebels with appearances in three games and 37 passing yards. His limited usage still provides roster flexibility at the position.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos bottom line: Both teams enter playing well, and the matchup may come down to which offense handles the pressure of the championship stage more effectively at Albertsons Stadium.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Football Betting Trends
- UNLV is 11-4 ATS as an underdog in their last 15 games.
- The Runnin’ Rebels are 19-6 ATS in away games over their last 25 games.
- UNLV is 21-6 SU after a win in their last 27 games.
- Also, Boise State is 17-1 SU in home games over their last 18 games.
- The Broncos are 25-2 SU as a favorite in their last 27 games.
- Additionally, Boise State is 19-4 SU after a win in their last 23 games.
2025 Mountain West Championship – Runnin’ Rebels Broncos Free Pick: UNLV +3.5
Here is my UNLV Boise State free pick.
UNLV’s road form and explosive offense give them a real shot to stay inside this number on the blue turf.
UNLV has been strong against the spread as an underdog, going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in that role. They’ve also traveled well this season with a 5-1 road record, which signals they can handle tough environments.
Boise State hasn’t been as dominant at home as in past seasons.
Their 8-4 record shows vulnerability, and my system tells me their defense — ranked 94th in points allowed — matches up poorly with UNLV’s 12th-ranked scoring offense.
This week the pick is UNLV +3.5.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
. . .
The Mountain West Championship returns to !#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/oCcElSLqBg
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) November 30, 2025
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