Free Week 12 Prediction: Warhawks vs. Red Wolves Odds
Looking for UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Warhawks taking on the Red Wolves on Saturday November 17th at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this UL Monroe Arkansas State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(6-4) UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 17 2018
Time: 3:00 pm EST
Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas
NCAA Football Spread: Arkansas State -8
NCAA Betting Total: 68
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This game actually has a lot to it as the winner likely punches their ticket for the first ever Sun Belt Championship game. The are 1-2 in the division right now with only a couple of games left on the schedule.
Arkansas State has the advantage of being at home but I think this one will be pretty close. Neither team generally dominated unless the competition is light and they are pretty evenly matched, or at least it looks like it.
Monroe comes into this one on a roll having won four in a row. They are in the lead in the division at 4-2. They are solid on offense but their defense ain’t great. It has gotten better as the season has progressed.
Junior QB Caleb Evans is a nifty dual threat at the position. He leads the team in running and passing, touchdowns scored and touchdowns thrown. Suffice it to say slowing him down will be the key for Arkansas State.
The defense is going to have to get some stops if you want to win on the road. Since getting torched by Ole Miss – 70 points, they have not given up more than 25 in any one contest. That number could get the the win.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State has won their last two but has struggled against the better teams in the Sun Belt. UL Monroe is not elite but they qualify as one of those. Being at home helps but I think the number is too big.
The Red Wolves can be nice and balanced on offense. Justice Hansen threw for close to 4000 yards a year ago and even though he is not going to get close to that total again he is effective. His interceptions are way down as a senior.
The defense is about average by Sun Belt standards and is a big reason I think this one is overpriced right now. Arkansas State has already clinched a bowl but will be motivated for more at home.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 8-1 in ULM last 9 road games.
- ULM are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
- Over is 7-2 in ULM last 9 games in November.
- Under is 7-1-1 in ARST last 9 games in November.
- Under is 9-3 in ARST last 12 conference games.
- Under is 6-2 in ARST last 8 games overall.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
Look for this to be a tight game. I think it will be a case of the team with the ball last wins it so I am going to take the points.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UL Monroe +8
When you are backing an underdog I kind of like that the ball is in the hands of their best player on every down.
Look for Evans to have a big day and lead the team to the upset victory on the road and clinch the division with a game to spare.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: UL Monroe 31 – Arkansas State 27
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