Free NCAAF Pick: Green Wave vs. Tigers Odds
Looking for Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers Free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Green Wave taking on the Tigers on 11/7 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, in Memphis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Green Wave Tigers free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers
(6-2) Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (8-1)
Date: Nov 07, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Green Wave +179 | Tigers -222 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Green Wave +6.0 | Tigers -6.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 55.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Memphis bet below in my Green Wave Tigers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Green Wave vs. Tigers Gameday
It’s Week 11, and the Tulane Green Wave head to Memphis for a Friday night showdown against the Tigers at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Kickoff’s set for 9:00 PM ET on ESPN — the lights will be bright, and so will the pressure.
Tulane comes in at 6-2 overall but just 2-2 on the road, struggling to maintain consistency away from Yulman Stadium.
Their most recent outing? A humbling 48-26 loss to UTSA where the defense looked like it forgot to pack for the trip.
Memphis is on a heater. The Tigers sit at 8-1 and remain perfect at home, flexing their muscle with a 38-14 stomping of Rice last week. Ranked No. 22 in the AP poll, they’re rolling with confidence and looking to make a statement in front of their home crowd.
Their last meeting went Memphis’ way — a 34-24 victory that showcased the Tigers’ superior offensive balance. With both teams chasing American Conference glory, expect fireworks and a few busted defensive coverages before this one’s done.
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It’s Week 11, Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers — two high-powered AAC squads clashing under the lights. Grab your popcorn; this one could swing the standings.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers Odds & Last 5
The oddsmakers see it pretty clearly: Memphis is favored at -227 on the moneyline, while Tulane sits as a +188 underdog.
The Tigers are laying 6.5 points, a number that screams “competitive — but not too competitive.”
Tulane’s form has been a rollercoaster. That loss to UTSA hurt — both the scoreboard (48-26) and their confidence on the road. Their 2-2 travel record shows they’re still trying to figure out how to bring their best outside New Orleans.
Memphis, though, looks like a machine at home. Their 4-0 record at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium speaks for itself.
A 38-14 beatdown of Rice last week kept the good vibes rolling, and they’ve got the offense to make Tulane pay for any mistake.
Tigers Stats
Memphis’ offense has been pure chaos for opposing defenses. They rank 6th nationally with 339 total points, and their ground game has piled up 1,822 yards (16th).
While the passing attack ranks 49th (2,058 yards), it’s more about efficiency than flash.
Defensively, they’re middle-of-the-pack in scoring (72nd with 173 points allowed), but they compensate with opportunism. With 12 interceptions (13th) and 5 fumble recoveries (7th), this defense knows how to flip the field — fast.
The Tigers’ recent form backs up the hype. They’ve won two straight — 38-14 over Rice and a nail-biter 34-31 over South Florida — and their only blemish was a 31-24 stumble against UAB.
Quarterback Brendon Lewis has been the steady hand behind it all, racking up 1,869 passing yards and 10 TDs.
Sutton Smith adds a bruising 515 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground, while Cortez Braham Jr. remains the go-to guy through the air with 632 yards and 7 trips to the end zone.
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Green Wave Stats
Tulane’s offense hasn’t been electric, but it’s serviceable. The Green Wave have put up 207 total points (74th) with a balanced approach — 1,865 passing yards (75th) and 1,406 rushing yards (59th).
They can move the ball, but the big plays come and go.
Jake Retzlaff leads the charge under center with 1,622 passing yards and 7 touchdowns. He’s solid but needs to limit the turnovers that burned him against UTSA (3 picks). On the ground, Javin Gordon has been steady with 328 yards and 3 TDs.
Their recent slate shows inconsistency. Wins over Army and East Carolina helped their cause, but the defensive meltdown against UTSA was ugly. That said, the Green Wave still managed 299 passing yards — proving the offense can hang around if they protect the ball.
Defensively, Tulane sits 95th in points allowed (204), but the pass rush has been a bright spot — 15 sacks (17th nationally).
Their secondary has also made noise with 6 interceptions and 5 fumble recoveries (both ranked 7th).
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Green Wave vs. Tigers QB Matchup
Brendon Lewis continues to shine for Memphis. In 9 games, he’s thrown for 1,869 yards (53rd) with 10 touchdowns and just 4 picks.
The guy’s efficient, mobile, and smart with the football — the exact combo that kills defenses late in games.
Backup AJ Hill saw brief action, posting 175 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception in limited duty. He’s capable but unlikely to see snaps unless things go sideways.
Jake Retzlaff has quietly been a stabilizing force for Tulane. Through 8 games, he’s tallied 1,622 yards and 7 TDs with only 3 interceptions — solid, but he’ll need to stretch the field to keep pace with Memphis’ scoring output.
Brendan Sullivan has chipped in as a spot starter with 201 passing yards and 2 TDs. He’s reliable, but not explosive — meaning Retzlaff’s arm will decide whether Tulane keeps this one close or fades late.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers bottom line: Memphis has home-field swagger and a balanced offense that can punish mistakes. If Tulane’s defense doesn’t tighten up early, the Tigers could run away by halftime.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers Football Betting Trends
- Tulane is 9-2 straight up after a loss in their last 11.
- Tulane is 9-2 against the spread after a loss in their last 11.
- Tulane is 6-4 against the spread as an underdog in their last 10.
- Also, Memphis is 11-0 straight up at home in their last 11.
- Additionally, Memphis is 7-1 against the spread as a favorite in their last 8.
- Memphis is 9-1 against the spread after a win in their last 10.
Green Wave Tigers Free Pick: Memphis -6.5
Here is my Tigers Green Wave free pick. Memphis has been nearly unstoppable at home, riding an incredible 11-game winning streak in front of their fans.
Their comfort level at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium makes them a nightmare for visiting teams to handle.
Additionally, the Tigers have proven trustworthy against the spread as favorites, covering in seven of their last eight games in that role. Their consistent offensive execution and efficient play-calling make them one of the most dangerous betting favorites in college football right now.
Tulane, to their credit, has shown resilience after losses and tends to respond well when counted out. However, this is not an easy road test. The Green Wave’s 2-2 road record suggests inconsistency away from home, especially against elite scoring teams like Memphis.
With Memphis ranking 6th nationally in points per game, it’s tough to see Tulane’s defense keeping up for four quarters.
Memphis’s quick tempo and balanced attack often force opponents into high-scoring shootouts — a scenario that plays directly into the Tigers’ hands. Their ability to dictate pace and pressure defenses early usually leads to separation before halftime.
Considering the trends and firepower, Memphis -6.5 feels like the right side. The Tigers’ dominance at home combined with their strong ATS record gives them the edge to cover comfortably.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Friday Night Lights 💡#ALLIN | #GoTigersGo pic.twitter.com/FjggN8CJiT
— Memphis Football (@MemphisFB) November 3, 2025
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