Free NCAAF Pick: Trojans vs. Monarchs Odds
Looking for Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Trojans taking on the Monarchs on 11/13 at S.B. Ballard Stadium, in Old Dominion. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Trojans Monarchs free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Troy Trojans vs Old Dominion Monarchs
(6-3) Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs (6-3)
Date: Nov 13, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: S.B. Ballard Stadium in Old Dominion, VA
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Trojans +323 | Monarchs -433 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Trojans +11.0 | Monarchs -11.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 52.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Trojans Monarchs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Trojans vs. Monarchs Gameday
Thursday night MACtion’s Sun Belt cousin takes center stage as the Troy Trojans travel to Norfolk to face the Old Dominion Monarchs. It’s Week 12 of the 2025 college football season, and both squads are eyeing conference title positioning. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM ET at S.B. Ballard Stadium, live on ESPN2.
Troy enters at 6-3 overall and a solid 3-1 on the road, though that recent 23-10 loss to Arkansas State put a dent in their momentum. The Trojans have the defense to compete with anyone in the Sun Belt — but their offense has been streaky at best.
Meanwhile, Old Dominion is the surprise story of the league.
Also 6-3, they’ve turned their home field into a fortress, going 4-0 in Norfolk while riding a two-game win streak. The Monarchs are balanced, confident, and hunting a statement win against a respected Troy squad.
Both teams sit near the top of the Sun Belt standings — Troy 2nd, Old Dominion 3rd — and neither is ranked in the AP or CFP polls.
Translation: this is the kind of late-season game that could swing bowl invites and bragging rights alike.
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It’s Week 12, Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs — buckle up for a physical, under-the-radar brawl that’ll shape the Sun Belt race.
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers are leaning toward the home team, with Old Dominion listed at -432 on the moneyline and Troy at +332. The Monarchs are -11 favorites, and the total sits at 52.5 — suggesting a modestly high-scoring matchup if both offenses show up.
Troy’s recent form has been a bit of a roller coaster. They fell flat last week against Arkansas State but handled Louisiana-Lafayette 35-23 before that and crushed ULM 37-14 earlier in the year. When they control tempo, they’re a tough out.
Old Dominion, on the other hand, has been rolling.
Back-to-back wins over Louisiana-Monroe (31-6) and Appalachian State (24-21) show their versatility — they can win a shootout or a slugfest. At home, they’ve been untouchable.
Monarchs Stats
Old Dominion’s offense has been humming, ranking 41st nationally with 287 total points. They’ve built their attack around the run game — 1,831 rushing yards (26th) — but their passing numbers are no slouch either, sitting 56th at 2,253 yards.
Defensively, they’ve been opportunistic. While they’ve allowed 211 points (91st), their ability to force turnovers makes up for it. They rank 4th nationally in fumbles recovered (9) and 9th in interceptions (8), turning miscues into momentum.
Quarterback Colton Joseph leads the charge with 2,231 yards and 19 touchdowns, though his nine interceptions are an eyesore. Running back Trequan Jones has provided balance with 528 rushing yards and four scores, while Na’eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding has been the go-to receiver with 551 yards and six TDs.
Their recent surge — including a 25-point drubbing of ULM — shows a team that’s peaking at the right time.
If their defense can force Troy’s QB into early mistakes, that perfect home record might stay intact.
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Trojans Stats
Troy’s offense has struggled to find consistency, posting 243 points (59th) on the season. Their air attack ranks 95th nationally (1,828 yards), while their rushing game sits at 104th (1,102 yards).
Not exactly eye-popping numbers for a team in the thick of the Sun Belt race.
What keeps them alive is defense. The Trojans have allowed just 217 points (95th) but boast one of the nation’s nastiest pass rushes — 24 sacks (10th) — and have picked off eight passes (9th). They may bend, but they rarely break when it matters most.
Quarterback Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 1,400 yards and nine touchdowns, though turnovers have slowed him down. Backup Goose Crowder has seen action too, tossing four touchdowns in limited snaps. Injuries to guys like Garner Langlo and Elijah Prather could sting, but the Trojans still have the firepower to hang around.
The formula is clear — win ugly, play defense, and don’t let Old Dominion’s offense get comfortable.
That’s how Troy pulls the upset on the road.
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Trojans vs. Monarchs QB Matchup
For Old Dominion, it’s all about Colton Joseph. The junior QB has been electric, throwing for 2,231 yards and 19 touchdowns across nine games. He’s got the arm talent to shred defenses, but his nine interceptions keep things interesting. If he avoids those turnover spells, the Monarchs’ offense hums.
Troy’s QB room, led by Tucker Kilcrease, hasn’t had the same spark. Kilcrease owns 1,400 passing yards with nine touchdowns and four picks through eight games. He’s solid but not spectacular, relying on the defense and run game to set the tone.
Backup Goose Crowder has contributed 374 yards and four scores, showing promise when called upon.
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs bottom line: Old Dominion’s home dominance and explosive balance give them the upper hand. If Joseph protects the football, the Monarchs should stay perfect in Norfolk and cover comfortably.
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Football Betting Trends
- Troy is 3-0 against the spread as an underdog in their last 3 games.
- Also, the Trojans are 3-0 straight up in their last 3 away games.
- Old Dominion has won all 4 of their last home games straight up.
- The Monarchs are 6-1 straight up in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Additionally, OD is 16-8 against the spread after a win in their last 24 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the last 7 home games for Old Dominion.
Trojans Monarchs Free Pick: Over 52.5
Here is my Monarchs Trojans free pick. Old Dominion has turned their home field into an offensive showcase, winning four straight at home and going over in five of their last seven there. Their ability to start fast and maintain tempo gives them plenty of scoring potential again this week.
Troy, on the other hand, has won three straight on the road and brings an offense built to travel.
Additionally, Troy’s balanced attack has generated consistent production against top-tier defenses, which bodes well in this spot. The Trojans’ ability to move the chains keeps pressure on opponents and fuels high totals. Both squads thrive in games where tempo matters, and that sets the tone for another over.
Considering the recent scoring trends and both teams’ offensive rhythm, 52.5 looks more than reachable in this matchup.
With two efficient quarterbacks and aggressive play-calling, expect fireworks. The over 52.5 is the clear play.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
navy head to toe 🫡 @JeromeCarterII2 #ReignOn | #BeTheReason | #MilitaryAppreciationWeek pic.twitter.com/t8Os5lEhKb
— ODU Football (@ODUFootball) November 11, 2025
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