Free Week 5 Prediction: Rockets vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Toledo Rockets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Rockets taking on the Bulldogs Saturday September 29th at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Toledo Fresno State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(2-1) Toledo Rockets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 29th 2018
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, California
NCAA Football Spread: Fresno State -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60
Live CFB Odds
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The Toledo Rockets didn’t hold back against Nevada at home where they took them down in a 63-44 shootout.
The Fresno State Bulldogs picked up a nice 38-14 rebound win against a struggling UCLA team.
Fresno State opened up at 10 point favorites but have since dropped to 7.5 points with about 54% of the public backing them.
The total opened up at 61.5 points and has since dropped down to 60 points.
Toledo’s offense kicked it up to full throttle totaling 460 yards against Nevada averaging 9.2 YPP and 5.0 YPC, while they picked up 23 first downs and converted 7 of their 15 third down attempts.
QB Mitchell Guadagni had a monster game completing 15 of his 24 passes for 211 yards and four touchdowns.
He also added another 131 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
Leading the aerial assault were WRs Diontae Johnson and Cody Thompson who combined for 124 yards and four touchdowns on eight receptions.
Although the offense and special teams were solid, their defense was gutted all game long giving up 582 yards and 27 first downs, but they did hold Nevada to just six third down conversions in 18 tries.
They were also able to force two turnovers.
Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State’s offense was very efficient against UCLA racking up 420 total yards while picking up 24 first downs, converting 12 of 18 third down attempts, and holding the ball for nearly 40 minutes.
QB Marcus McMaryion was decent completing 22 of 33 passes for 270 yards and one touchdown.
Leading the rushing attack was RB Jordan Mims who toted the rock 21 times for 85 yards.
WRs KeeSean Johnson and Jamire Jordan led the aerial assault combining for 138 yards on 11 receptions.
Fresno State’s defense was terrific as they held UCLA to 270 yards while only giving up 14 first downs and allowing them to convert just 1 of their 14 third down attempts.
They also forced four turnovers, one sack, and three tackles for a loss.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- TOL are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 road games.
- Under is 23-11 in TOL last 34 road games.
- FRES are 11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- FRES are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games.
- FRES are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
Fresno State outlasts Toledo at home.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: OVER 60 Points
Fresno State is going to want to play a slow-tempo style and control the clock as much as possible to keep this explosive Toledo offense off of the field, and they shouldn’t have a problem doing that as Toledo gave up an average of 7.5 YPC against Nevada.
The Bulldogs will have been off for nearly two week and are itching to get back into the action.
This is a cross country road trip for Toledo so I expect their defense to be lacking more than usual, but I’m not counting out Guadagni.
Not bothering with the spread as it could go either way, but I do expect both offenses to have they’re ways against these defenses.
Back the total to eclipse the total point threshold.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Fresno State 38 – Toledo 34
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