Free NCAAF Pick: Red Raiders vs. Wildcats Odds
Looking for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Red Raiders taking on the Wildcats on 11/1 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, in Kansas State. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Red Raiders Wildcats free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas State Wildcats
(7-1) Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats (4-4)
Date: Nov 01, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Kansas State, KS
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Red Raiders -279 | Wildcats +222 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Red Raiders -7.5 | Wildcats +7.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 52.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Texas Tech Kansas State free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Red Raiders vs. Wildcats Gameday
Week 10 of the 2025 season brings a key Big 12 showdown as the Texas Tech Red Raiders visit the Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on FOX.
The Red Raiders have been one of the conference’s hottest teams, entering this matchup at 7-1 and ranked 13th in both the AP and Coaches Polls. Their 4-1 record in Big 12 play keeps them firmly in the title hunt.
Texas Tech has combined an explosive offense with a defense that’s quietly among the most disruptive in the nation.
Kansas State, meanwhile, sits at 4-4 overall and 3-3 in conference play. The Wildcats have looked sharp at home (3-1) and are currently riding a two-game win streak. They’ve shown flashes of balance lately — capable of hanging points while also forcing turnovers.
Historically, Kansas State has had the upper hand in this series, winning four straight meetings. That streak adds a bit of psychological weight heading into Saturday’s matchup, where Texas Tech will try to prove they’re ready to flip the script.
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It’s Week 10: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats — a game that could shape the Big 12 standings down the stretch.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers like the Red Raiders to keep rolling. Texas Tech sits at -292 on the moneyline, while Kansas State is a home underdog at +236.
The spread is Red Raiders -7.5, with the total hovering around the mid-50s — fitting for two teams that can light up the scoreboard.
Texas Tech enters off a statement win — a 42-0 rout of Oklahoma State — that reminded everyone how dangerous their offense can be when it’s humming. Their only recent setback was a narrow 26-22 loss to Arizona State.
Kansas State, on the other hand, has built momentum with back-to-back wins over Kansas (42-17) and TCU (41-28).
The Wildcats’ offense has finally clicked, and their opportunistic defense has created extra possessions — a formula they’ll hope holds up against a ranked opponent.
Wildcats Stats
Kansas State’s offense has been efficient, posting 248 points this season (38th nationally). They’ve balanced their attack with 1,787 passing yards (65th) and 1,157 rushing yards (73rd).
That versatility makes them difficult to game-plan for.
Defensively, they’ve been opportunistic. The Wildcats rank 12th in sacks (19), 9th in interceptions (8), and 2nd in fumble recoveries (9). However, they’ve also allowed 206 points (104th), meaning while they create chaos, they sometimes give up big plays in return.
Quarterback Avery Johnson has been steady, throwing for 1,787 yards and 15 touchdowns with just two interceptions.
Joe Jackson leads the ground game with 382 rushing yards, and Jayce Brown has been his top target, hauling in 577 yards and four touchdowns.
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Red Raiders Stats
Texas Tech has fielded one of the nation’s most explosive offenses. They rank 4th in total points (349), 9th in passing yards (2,401), and 24th in rushing yards (1,605).
That kind of balance is lethal — they can stretch defenses vertically or grind them down on the ground.
Defensively, the Red Raiders bring pressure from everywhere. They rank 5th in sacks (26), 9th in interceptions (8), and 4th in fumble recoveries (7). This is a defense that doesn’t just bend — it breaks opponents’ rhythm.
Quarterback Behren Morton has been the catalyst, throwing for 1,501 yards and 13 touchdowns. On the ground, Cameron Dickey has powered the rushing attack with 680 yards and nine touchdowns. Texas Tech’s lone concern?
Injuries — several contributors, including Will Hammond and Quinten Joyner, are done for the year.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome — give us your picks for this Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats matchup.
Red Raiders vs. Wildcats QB Matchup
Avery Johnson continues to shine for Kansas State. Through eight games, he’s thrown for 1,787 yards and 15 touchdowns with just two interceptions — an impressive ratio that’s kept the Wildcats competitive in shootouts.
Backup Jacob Knuth has seen limited action, appearing in one game without registering any stats, leaving Johnson firmly in control of the offense.
For Texas Tech, Behren Morton remains the go-to guy. Across six games, he’s passed for 1,501 yards, 13 touchdowns, and three interceptions, ranking him among the Big 12’s most efficient signal-callers.
Will Hammond, who began the year in a rotational role, has thrown for 680 yards and seven touchdowns in eight appearances. With Hammond sidelined by injury, the Red Raiders’ offense rests squarely on Morton’s shoulders moving forward.
The Wildcats will fight early, but the Red Raiders’ tempo and pass rush should carry them.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats bottom line: Texas Tech’s offense is too balanced, too explosive, and too disciplined for Kansas State to keep pace over four quarters.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Football Betting Trends
- Texas Tech has a 9-1 record straight up in their last 10 games when the total is 50 or more.
- They are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games after a win.
- Also, Texas Tech is 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 games as favorites.
- Kansas State is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 games as underdogs.
- Additionally, Kansas State has hit the over in their last 4 games this season.
- They are 14-3 on the over in their last 17 games as underdogs.
Red Raiders Wildcats Free Pick: Over 52.5
Here is my Red Raiders Wildcats free pick. To start, the Texas Tech Red Raiders thrive in high-total games, going an impressive 9-1 straight up when the number is 50 or more.
Their offense ranks 4th nationally in points scored, which means they’re more than capable of lighting up the scoreboard against any defense.
Meanwhile, Kansas State has been no stranger to high-scoring affairs, hitting the Over in four straight contests.
With a defense that’s allowed 206 points—ranking 104th nationally—the Wildcats often find themselves in shootouts, especially as underdogs.
Additionally, Kansas State has gone over the total in 14 of their last 17 games as an underdog, showing that their style of play tends to open things up rather than slow it down. Combine that with Texas Tech’s explosive passing game, and this matchup has fireworks written all over it.
Given both teams’ scoring potential and the consistent Over trends, taking the Over 52.5 looks like the best move.
We’re going to see plenty of touchdowns, quick drives, and a scoreboard that stays busy all afternoon in this Big 12 showdown.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Dialed up @jaycebrownn pic.twitter.com/VJIXfqQayf
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) October 26, 2025
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