
Free NCAAF Pick: Longhorns vs. Wildcats Odds
Looking for Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats Free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Longhorns taking on the Wildcats on 10/18 at Kroger Field, in Kentucky. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Longhorns Wildcats free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Texas Longhorns vs Kentucky Wildcats
(4-2) Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats (2-3)
Date: Oct 18, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Kroger Field in Kentucky, KY
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Longhorns -487 | Wildcats +359 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Longhorns -12.5 | Wildcats +12.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 42.5
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Longhorns vs. Wildcats Gameday
Week 8 Saturday night lights bring a fun SEC clash as the No. 21 Texas Longhorns travel to Lexington to take on the Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN.
Texas enters this matchup ranked #21 in the AP Poll and #17 in the Coaches Poll with a 4-2 record.
All four wins have come at home, while both losses were on the road. Steve Sarkisian’s squad is fresh off a 23-6 win over Oklahoma — a game that showcased their defensive dominance and improved discipline.
Kentucky, on the other hand, sits at 2-3 and has struggled in SEC play (0-3).
The Wildcats have dropped consecutive games to Georgia and South Carolina, both by three touchdowns, but they’ve been competitive early in games.
Their only bright spot recently was a 48-20 win over Eastern Michigan in non-conference play.
These two last met in November 2024 when Texas rolled to a 31-14 victory.
The Longhorns look to extend that edge, while Kentucky hopes to pull off a home upset under the lights.
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Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats Odds & Last 5
The oddsmakers lean heavily toward Texas here. The Longhorns are listed at -478 on the moneyline, while Kentucky comes in at +363. The spread is set at Texas -12 with a total hovering around 48 points.
Texas continues to shine defensively but remains winless on the road this season. Their last trip away from Austin ended in a 29-21 loss to Florida.
Also, Kentucky has been strong at home historically, though they’ve yet to notch a conference win in 2025.
In their 2024 meeting, Texas covered comfortably in a 31-14 victory, while the total stayed under the posted number.
Bettors might be eyeing similar trends this time around, given how both defenses have been performing.
Wildcats Stats
The Kentucky Wildcats have struggled to find rhythm on offense. They’ve scored just 122 points through five games (78th nationally) and rank 118th in passing with only 861 yards. Cutter Boley’s development has been steady, but the lack of consistency up front has stalled drives.
Defensively, however, Kentucky remains dangerous when forcing turnovers. The Wildcats rank 7th in interceptions (6) and 19th in sacks (7), proving they can create havoc when opponents drop back to pass.
Unfortunately, they’ve still surrendered 139 points (83rd), which has offset those defensive flashes.
In recent weeks, Kentucky has allowed 35 points in back-to-back losses to Georgia and South Carolina. Their lone win in the last month came in a 48-20 blowout of Eastern Michigan.
RB Seth McGowan has been the bright spot, racking up 431 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns — easily the engine of this offense.
Longhorns Stats
Texas continues to bring a balanced attack, mixing power runs with controlled passing. The Longhorns have scored 171 points this season (49th) and rank 69th in rushing yards (950). Their aerial game has been efficient but not explosive, sitting at 97th in passing (1,110 yards).
Defensively, Texas has been stout — allowing only 66 points (27th nationally). Their front seven has been relentless, piling up 16 sacks (10th) and forcing turnovers at a high rate.
The Longhorns also rank 6th in fumble recoveries, a sign of how opportunistic this defense can be.
Recent performances highlight that duality. The 23-6 win over Oklahoma showcased the defense’s strength, while the earlier 29-21 loss to Florida exposed offensive inconsistency in hostile environments.
If the Longhorns establish their run game early, they’ll be tough to slow down.
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Longhorns vs. Wildcats QB Matchup
For Kentucky, Cutter Boley continues to grow into the QB1 role. Across four games, he’s thrown for 627 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. He’s shown flashes of poise but tends to press under pressure — something Texas’ front line will aim to exploit.
Backup Zach Calzada has seen some action, throwing for 234 yards in two appearances but without a touchdown. Kentucky’s passing game remains very much a work in progress.
For Texas, Arch Manning has been the steady hand behind center. Through six games, he’s totaled 1,054 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. His ability to extend plays has been crucial to Texas’ red-zone success.
Backup Matthew Caldwell has appeared sparingly, throwing for just 49 yards in four games. Sarkisian’s offense clearly runs through Manning, whose leadership and efficiency have steadied the Longhorns after early-season bumps.
Expect Arch Manning to control the tempo and the Longhorns’ pass rush to dominate the second half.
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats bottom line: The Wildcats’ defense can keep them competitive early, but Texas’ depth and defensive front should eventually wear them down.
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats Football Betting Trends
- The Longhorns are 26-4 straight up in their last 30 games as favorites.
- In away games, the Longhorns are 12-3 straight up in their last 15 games.
- Also, the Longhorns are 24-4 straight up after a win in their last 28 games.
- The Wildcats have a 4-0 record against the spread in their last 4 games with totals of 50 or more.
- Additionally, the Wildcats are 4-0 on the over/under in their last 4 games as underdogs.
- After a loss, the Wildcats have a 6-3 record on the over/under in their last 9 games.
Longhorns vs Wildcats Prediction: Over 42.5
Here is my Longhorns Wildcats free pick. The Texas Longhorns have been steady on offense this season, racking up 171 points and ranking 49th nationally in scoring.
Their ability to move the ball efficiently and finish drives makes them a constant threat to push totals higher.
On the flip side, the Kansas State Wildcats have had their share of defensive struggles, surrendering 139 points so far — 83rd in the country. Their recent track record as underdogs has leaned heavily toward the over, hitting it in four straight games when totals are set at 50 or more.
Both teams have playmakers who can change the game in a single drive, and neither defense has shown enough consistency to expect a low-scoring battle. The conditions point toward another solid over result in this Big 12 showdown.
With Texas’ offensive rhythm and Kansas State’s trend toward high totals, the over 42.5 looks like the right side to back.
Ultimately, expect the Longhorns to control the pace early, with the Wildcats doing enough offensively to keep things competitive. This matchup has all the makings of a game that comfortably clears the 42.5 total.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
Best Sportsbooks For Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF Gambling Today!
NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Under the Kroger Field lights.
🗓️ Oct. 18
🕖 7 pm ET or 7:45 pm ET
📺 @espn or @SECNetwork
📍 Kroger Field pic.twitter.com/Ex4IEsWolc— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 6, 2025
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