Free NCAAF Pick: Horned Frogs vs. Sun Devils Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Sun Devils on 9/26 at Mountain America Stadium, in Arizona State. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Horned Frogs Sun Devils free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona State Sun Devils
(3-0) TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1)
Date: Sep 26, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Mountain America Stadium in Arizona State, AZ
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Horned Frogs +111 | Sun Devils -134 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Horned Frogs +2.5 | Sun Devils -2.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 54.5
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Horned Frogs vs. Sun Devils Gameday
As the fifth week of the 2025 regular season rolls around, fans are eager for the game between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Arizona State Sun Devils. This Friday night game takes place at the Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ. You can catch all the action live on FOX.
TCU Horned Frogs, ranked 24th in the AP poll, have been on a roll with a 3-0 record so far. They have shown their prowess both at home and on the road, though they haven’t played a conference game yet. Their recent win against SMU, with a score of 35-24, highlights their strong offense.
Meanwhile, the Arizona State Sun Devils come into this game with a 3-1 record. Their recent games have been exciting, including a close win over Baylor, 27-24. Their conference record of 1-0 shows they can handle the pressure when it matters.
Both teams have not faced each other before, making this matchup even more interesting. While TCU aims to maintain their unbeaten streak, Arizona State hopes to use their home-field advantage.
Fans can expect an intense battle under the Friday night lights.
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It’s Week 5, TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils, hopefully we get a great matchup.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Odds & Last 5
Next, let’s dive into the game odds for this exciting Friday night showdown. The consensus odds show Arizona State as the favorite with a moneyline of -139, while TCU sits at +116. The spread leans slightly toward the Sun Devils at -2.5, and the total is set at 54.5 points.
Looking at TCU’s recent games, they have started the season strong with a 3-0 record. They recently defeated SMU, Abilene Christian, and North Carolina, showcasing a balanced attack in each game. Their passing game has been particularly effective, with notable yardage against these opponents.
Meanwhile, Arizona State comes off an exciting win against Baylor, pushing their record to 3-1. They have demonstrated resilience with wins against Texas State and Northern Arizona, while their only loss came against Mississippi State.
Their running game has been a key factor in their victories, giving them an edge in close games.
Sun Devils Stats
Arizona State Sun Devils have been strong on the ground this season. They rank 19th in rushing yards with 886 yards. Raleek Brown leads the team with 372 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
Next, the Sun Devils’ defense has been effective in creating turnovers. They rank 3rd in interceptions with two and 2nd in fumbles recovered with four. This ability to force turnovers has been key in their recent wins.
Meanwhile, quarterback Sam Leavitt has been a standout player. He has thrown for 748 yards and six touchdowns in four games. Additionally, his passing ability ranks 89th nationally, providing a solid foundation for the offense.
Finally, Arizona State has won three of their last four games, and have the momentum. They recently defeated Baylor 27-24, and looked strong in all phases of the game.
However, injuries could impact their depth, with several players listed as questionable or out.
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Horned Frogs Stats
TCU Horned Frogs have shown strength on offense this season. They rank 35th in points scored with 125. Their passing game is strong, with 1,024 yards, placing them 37th.
Next, TCU’s defense is holding its ground well. They have allowed 59 points, ranking 35th, and their sack count is impressive with 8, placing them 10th. Their ability to intercept is notable, with 3 interceptions ranking 4th.
In recent games, TCU has been on a winning streak. They secured a 35-24 win over SMU Mustangs and a 42-21 victory against Abilene Christian Wildcats. Their most dominant win came against North Carolina Tar Heels, finishing 48-14.
Finally, TCU’s key players are making an impact. Josh Hoover leads with 1,000 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Eric McAlister shines among receivers with 320 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Kevorian Barnes, despite being day to day, has contributed 156 rushing yards and a touchdown.
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Horned Frogs vs. Sun Devils QB Matchup
Sam Leavitt leads the Arizona State Sun Devils as their top quarterback. He has played in four games, throwing for 748 yards. With six passing touchdowns and three interceptions, he ranks first on the team in both categories.
Leavitt’s performance and his ability to score points consistently makes him a key player for the Sun Devils.
On the other hand, Josh Hoover is the starting quarterback for the TCU Horned Frogs. In three games, he has thrown for 1,000 yards. Hoover has 11 passing touchdowns and two interceptions, which highlights his effectiveness.
His strong passing game has been crucial for TCU’s success this season.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Football Betting Trends
- The Horned Frogs are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games after a win.
- Also, the Horned Frogs have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win.
- The Horned Frogs’ games have gone over the total in 5 of their last 7 games after a win.
- The Sun Devils are 9-0 straight up in their last 9 home games.
- Additionally, the Sun Devils have covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 home games.
- The Sun Devils’ games have gone over the total in 9 of their last 12 home games.
Horned Frogs vs Sun Devils Prediction: Arizona State -2.5
Arizona State has turned Tempe into a fortress, rattling off nine straight home wins and covering the number in eight of those games. That kind of dominance at Sun Devil Stadium makes them a dangerous team to fade.
While TCU enters with confidence after recent wins, the Horned Frogs face a much stiffer test here. Arizona State’s defense has been opportunistic, ranking near the top in sacks and turnovers, which could disrupt TCU’s offensive rhythm all night.
Offensively, the Sun Devils thrive on the ground, pounding teams with a strong rushing attack that shortens the game and controls tempo. This style, paired with their defensive pressure, gives them a clear edge in this matchup.
With home-field advantage and a defense built to rattle opponents, Arizona State -2.5 looks like the sharp play.
TCU’s solid track record after wins can’t be ignored, but the matchup favors Arizona State’s style. Expect the Sun Devils to ride their defensive intensity and rushing attack to another cover at home.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Duel in the Desert Game Time is Set ‼️
🆚: Arizona
⏰: 7:00 PM AZT
📍: Mountain America Stadium
📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/iaa266kFtX— Sun Devil Football (@ASUFootball) September 22, 2025
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