Free Week 11 Prediction: Golden Eagles vs Blazers Odds
Looking for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. UAB Blazers free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Southern Miss Golden Eagles taking on the UAB Blazers on Saturday, November 10 at Legion Field in Birmingham. AL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Southern Miss UAB free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(4-4) Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. UAB Blazers (8-1)
Date: Saturday, November 10, 2018
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Legion Field, Birmingham, AL
NCAA Football Spread: UAB -11.5
NCAA Betting Total: 46.5
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The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles enter week 11 at 4 – 4 and need two wins to become bowl eligible. The cancellation of the Appalachian State game back on October 15 due to Hurricane Florence, took one game off the schedule, and it will not be made up at all.
The Eagles will finish out the season with games against LA Tech and UTEP, and they might need to win both of those games to earn a post season berth in 2018. UAB are listed as -11.5 point favorites at home, and at 8 – 1 they are not likely to let up this weekend.
UAB and Southern Mississippi have met nearly every year since 2000, when the two first became Conference USA foes. UAB has taken 6 of the last 7 meetings, although they trail in the all-time series 10 – 6 to Southern Miss. Obviously, the two didn’t meet while UAB was without a football program for 2 years, before last season marked their return to FBS Division 1 status.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Southern Miss is 0 – 3 on the road in 2018, but they’ll have to win at least one of their final two road games to become bowl eligible this season. Their first test will come against a UAB defense that has been extremely stingy in 2018.
The Eagles picked up a much-needed win last weekend against Marshall, 26 – 24. Despite going 3 for 17 on 3rd down conversion attempts, the Eagle defense forced three fumbles and had two interceptions to secure their fourth win of the year.
Freshmen QB Tate Whatley finished the game 16 for 25 passing, but only put up 134 yards through the air. The problem is, he also led the team in rushing with only 40 yards on 25 attempts. The teams second leading rusher in the game was De’Michael Harris, and he ran one sweep from his wideout position and gained 29 yards.
The strength for Southern Mississippi this season has been their defense, as they rank high in nearly every defensive category. The Eagles rank 10th overall against the pass (171 YPG), and are 7th in the nation in total yards allowed (282.5).
While the Southern Miss defense has played much better this season, the UAB defense has simply been outrageous in 2018. The Blazers have shout out 3 teams this year, and are coming off a 52 – 3 win over UT San Antonio last weekend. That tells you that a field goal was the only offense that the Roadrunners could muster against UAB.
The only loss the Blazers have suffered this season, came way back in week 2 when they lost to Coastal Carolina, 47 – 24. UAB and Coastal Carolina joined Division 1 together last season, with UAB coming to Conference USA after a two year layoff without a program.
After a bowl appearance in their first season back last year, the Blazers could clinch West Division title with a win this weekend and find themselves in the Conference Championship game. The Blazers are two games ahead of LA Tech in conference play, and hold the heads-up tie breaker with their win over the Bulldogs back on October 6.
UAB is a perfect 6 – 0 at home this season, and are the only Conference USA team without a loss in conference play.
The Under is 2 – 7 in 9 Blazers games this season as a result of the defense being such a dominant force this season. UAB is number 1 in all the land in scoring defense, only allowing 12.1 points per game. They’re ranked 4th in passing yards allowed per game (153,3), and 3rd in the nation in total yards allowed (271.4).
This game could end 3 – 0, and I might not be that far off with that hypothesis. These two defenses have carried the load all year, and now they get to go head-to-head.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Blazers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
- Blazers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 games overall.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
The play goes to the Under 46.5, simple out of respect for what these two defense have achieved in 2018. In all honesty, this could be a 16 – 13 type of game, so I will use that as my final score prediction.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: The UAB Blazers are favored at -11.5, with a 46.5 showing on the total. Free ATS or O/U final score pick provided below!
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Southern Miss 13 – UAB 16
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