Free NCAAF Pick: Bulls vs. Tigers Odds
Looking for South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers Free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Bulls taking on the Tigers on 10/25 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, in Memphis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Bulls Tigers free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – South Florida Bulls vs Memphis Tigers
(6-1) South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers (6-1)
Date: Oct 25, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Bulls -204 | Tigers +168 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Bulls -5.0 | Tigers +5.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 63.5
Here’s why I’m backing the Over bet below in my Bulls Tigers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Bulls vs. Tigers Gameday
Saturday at noon on ESPN2, the South Florida Bulls and Memphis Tigers square off in a marquee AAC showdown at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. With both teams sitting at 6-1, this one has major implications for conference standings — and maybe even the New Year’s Six bowl race.
South Florida, ranked 18th in the AP and 20th in the Coaches Poll, is scorching hot. The Bulls have ripped off four straight wins, including a 48-13 demolition of Florida Atlantic.
They’ve found rhythm on both sides of the ball, averaging nearly 47 points per game during that stretch.
Meanwhile, Memphis looks to rebound after its first loss of the season — a tough 31-24 road setback to UAB. Still, the Tigers remain perfect at home and boast a dangerous offense capable of trading scores with anyone.
They’ve also won three straight meetings against South Florida, including last year’s 21-3 victory.
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2025 College Football Handicapping
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It’s Week 9 — South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers — and both teams are hunting for respect and a shot at AAC supremacy.
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers Odds & Last 5
The oddsmakers like South Florida in this one. The Bulls are -210 on the moneyline with a 5-point spread in their favor, while Memphis checks in at +174.
The total is set at 63.5, signaling a potential track meet between two top-20 scoring offenses.
South Florida’s recent form has been electric. They’ve outscored opponents 203–77 during their four-game win streak, lighting up Florida Atlantic (48-13) and North Texas (63-28). Their offense is humming — and it’ll need to be again in a hostile road environment.
Memphis, on the other hand, wants to bounce back quickly. Despite the loss to UAB, the Tigers have been rock-solid at home and continue to be a turnover-forcing machine.
With a 6-1 record and a chip on their shoulder, they’ll come out swinging in front of the Liberty Stadium faithful.
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Tigers Stats
Memphis ranks 12th nationally in scoring (267 points) and has one of the best rushing attacks in the country — 1,558 yards, good for 15th overall.
Their passing game hasn’t been elite (79th, 1,512 yards), but the ground-and-pound approach has kept defenses off balance.
Defensively, the Tigers know how to take the ball away. They’ve recorded 10 interceptions (11th nationally) and four fumble recoveries (6th), helping them stay in games even when the offense stalls. Their 128 points allowed rank 65th — middle of the pack, but steady enough to win shootouts.
Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,337 yards, eight touchdowns, and four picks. He’s dealing with a leg injury, so his availability will be critical.
Sutton Smith remains the engine of the run game with 480 yards and six touchdowns, while wideout Cortez Braham Jr. has been the go-to target, hauling in 491 yards and five scores.
Bulls Stats
South Florida’s offense has been among the nation’s best. The Bulls rank 5th in scoring with 292 total points and 18th in rushing (1,511 yards). They’ve been bullying defenses on the ground while their passing game continues to stretch the field effectively.
Defensively, they’re improving — and opportunistic. South Florida ranks 3rd nationally in fumble recoveries (7) but still sits just 84th in points allowed (161).
They’ll need to tighten up against a Memphis team that thrives on second-half surges.
Quarterback Byrum Brown is having a breakout year, throwing for 1,695 yards and 16 touchdowns — 14th in the nation — while adding mobility in the pocket. He’s the heartbeat of this offense, and his decision-making has been a major reason for their rise in the rankings.
Injuries could be a factor, though.
A few key contributors are questionable heading into Saturday, which might test the Bulls’ depth against one of the AAC’s toughest teams to beat at home.
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Bulls vs. Tigers QB Matchup
Memphis QB Brendon Lewis has been steady, throwing for 1,337 yards and eight touchdowns, though his four interceptions have cost the Tigers at times.
Backup AJ Hill has limited experience — one game, 175 yards, one touchdown, and one pick — but offers a different look if called upon.
South Florida’s Byrum Brown has been sensational. Through seven games, he’s thrown for 1,695 yards and 16 touchdowns with only five interceptions. His ability to create plays on the move and stretch defenses vertically makes him one of the AAC’s most dynamic signal-callers.
Backup Locklan Hewlett has been efficient in limited reps, tossing a touchdown with no turnovers.
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers bottom line: Two explosive offenses, one statement opportunity. Memphis will try to ride its home momentum and turnover magic, but South Florida’s balance and rhythm might be too much.
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers Football Betting Trends
- South Florida has gone 10-1 straight up as a favorite in their last 11 games.
- They are 7-1 in over/under as a favorite in their last 8.
- South Florida is 3-0 straight up after a win in their last 3.
- Additionally, Memphis is 4-0 against the spread as an underdog in their last 4 games.
- Also, Memphis has a 4-0 record against the spread at home in their last 4.
- Memphis has gone 9-3 in over/under after a loss in their last 12 games.
Bulls Tigers Free Pick: Over 63.5
Here is my Bulls Tigers free pick. The total for this matchup sits at 63.5, and all signs point to a track meet.
South Florida has been lights out as a favorite, going 10-1 straight up, and their games often turn into scoring showcases — hitting the over in 7 of their last 8 when favored.
Meanwhile, Memphis has quietly been a solid bet at home, especially as an underdog. They’re 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, which shows they can hang around against stronger opponents.
That competitiveness often forces both teams to keep the pedal down offensively.
Furthermore, both programs rank among the top scoring units in the nation — South Florida sits 5th in points per game, while Memphis checks in at 12th. With that kind of offensive firepower, drives should end in touchdowns, not punts.
Given the scoring trends and offensive stats, the Over 63.5 feels like the right call for what could be one of the weekend’s most entertaining shootouts.
Expect fireworks, momentum swings, and very little defense from start to finish. This matchup has all the ingredients for a classic AAC-style high-scoring affair that sails over the number.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thoughts from Coach Silverfield 🎙️#ALLIN | #GoTigersGo pic.twitter.com/Z5FYA5tLtr
— Memphis Football (@MemphisFB) October 21, 2025
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