Free Las Vegas Bowl Prediction: Aztecs vs Cougars Odds
Looking for San Diego State Aztecs vs. Houston Cougars free picks? 2016 Las Vegas Bowl betting sees the Aztecs taking on the Cougars on Saturday December 17 at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
2016 Las Vegas Bowl
(10-3) San Diego State Aztecs vs. Houston Cougars (9-3)
Date: Saturday, December 17
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
NCAA Football Spread: Houston Cougars -3
NCAA Betting Total: OFF
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This should be an exciting matchup. It is too bad it couldn’t have happened earlier in the season when both of these mid majors were considered threats to the establishments.
Still as far as second tier bowls go this might be as good as it gets and we get it off the hop.
Houston is in an interesting spot here because of their coaching. There is still close to a couple of weeks before the game so maybe they get a new HC before then.
Either way I expect them to be ready to play. SDSU is familiar with the Las Vegas trip so I expect them to be all business.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs did not have the season they were hoping for but they still repeated as Mountain West champs, beating surprising Wyoming on the road in the title game.
With 110 yards against the Cowboys RB Donnel Pumphrey went over 2000 yards for the season. He had four games with over 200 yards and another with 198.
SDSU had the seventh best rushing attack in the country and even though he is no bruiser he can carry the rock all game lock. He is their offensive identity.
The other part of their identity is playing rock solid defense for coach Rocky Long.
There were a couple of games that got away from them but the Aztecs pitched two shutouts and 3 other times held their opponents to 7 or less points.
Houston will probably be the best offense they have faced this season and I am sure Long is looking forward to the challenge. They might not be the most physical but this is a really fast group.
Houston began the season with a program changing win against Oklahoma but they couldn’t get by some familiar opponents in the AAC – all of their losses were on the road.
Their biggest loss has to be that of coach Tom Herman who has led this recent renaissance.
Not to be overlooked is QB Greg Ward Jr. He did not live up to the hype but he is still one of the better run/pass threats in the college game.
He should be as healthy as he has been all season long and he will test the Aztecs defense.
The Houston defense is good but like SDSU when they lost they gave up a lot of points. Navy ran all over them of course but their style of running is totally different from that of the Aztecs.
In fact they were third in the nation defending the run. Houston did not play great down the stretch so this is a chance to redeem themselves in the eyes of the football world and get that double digit victory.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Aztecs last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aztecs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Aztecs last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Free Las Vegas Bowl NCAA Football Prediction
I am really looking forward to this one.
There are going to be lots of explosive players on the field so even though the defenses are solid we should see some big plays. Mindset will be critical on the Houston side.
If they are not focused SDSU is more than good enough to give them a beating.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State +3
I always look underdog first in the bowl games. In this case I like a lot of what I see with the Aztecs. First they get the points and they get an easy trip to Las Vegas.
Plus they have none of the off the field distractions to concern themselves with. Also, Long is underrated and he should have a game plan for slowing down the Cougars that his kids can execute.
Las Vegas Bowl Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 38 – Houston 27
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